Sun, Jan 9, 2022·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Dallas Stars 1, St. Louis Blues 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 07 | 112 | 08 | 127 |
| STL | 010 | 05 | 216 | 231 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 9:13DALJason RobertsonAssists: Joe Pavelski, Miro Heiskanen · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–0
- P3 19:13STLRyan O'ReillyPPAssists: Torey Krug, Jordan Kyrou · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–1
- P3 19:31STLJordan KyrouPPGWGAssists: Pavel Buchnevich · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–2
Penalties (8)
- P1 8:26DALMiro Heiskanen: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 0:55STLNiko Mikkola: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:24DALJohn Klingberg: High sticking2 min
- P2 15:30DALJamie Benn: High sticking2 min
- P2 19:34STLRobert Thomas: Slashing2 min
- P3 14:59STLDavid Perron: Tripping2 min
- P3 18:08DALJani Hakanpää: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 19:13DALMiro Heiskanen: Slashing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Glendening won the faceoff against Sundqvist
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestGlendening – Faksa – Raffl8:26
xG 0.66–0.42 (61%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Pavelski – Hintz – Robertson8:59
xG 0.61–0.52 (54%)attempts 8–10goals 1–0
- Radulov – Peterson – Kiviranta8:18
xG 0.26–0.26 (50%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- Benn – Seguin – Gurianov7:36
xG 0.27–0.44 (38%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSuter – Heiskanen16:06
xG 0.86–0.70 (55%)attempts 13–17goals 1–0
- Hakanpää – Lindell2:50
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Klingberg – Lindell13:11
xG 0.52–0.51 (50%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestO'Reilly – Buchnevich – Barbashev9:07
xG 0.45–0.26 (63%)attempts 14–5goals 0–1
- Schenn – Kyrou – Thomas10:29
xG 0.52–0.57 (48%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Perron – Saad – Sundqvist9:52
xG 0.16–0.26 (37%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Bozak – Brown – Kostin5:43
xG 0.13–0.30 (30%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestParayko – Mikkola14:40
xG 0.74–0.50 (59%)attempts 16–9goals 0–0
- Bortuzzo – Scandella7:52
xG 0.27–0.05 (84%)attempts 9–1goals 0–0
- Faulk – Krug15:33
xG 0.54–1.27 (30%)attempts 11–16goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it DAL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − DAL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).