Tue, Jan 11, 2022·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Chicago Blackhawks 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 18 | 13 | 29 | 420 |
| CBJ | 18 | 08 | 110 | 226 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:51CBJBoone JennerAssists: Gustav Nyquist, Zach Werenski · Wrist, 0.13 xG0–1
- P1 13:15CHIAlex DeBrincatAssists: Riley Stillman · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–1
- P2 15:10CHICalvin de HaanAssists: Philipp Kurashev, MacKenzie Entwistle · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–1
- P3 6:36CHIConnor MurphyGWGAssists: Jonathan Toews, Patrick Kane · Slap, 0.09 xG3–1
- P3 18:39CBJGustav NyquistSHUnassisted · Snap, 0.10 xG3–2
- P3 19:45CHIAlex DeBrincatENAssists: Riley Stillman · Wrist, 0.79 xG4–2
Penalties (6)
- P1 15:32CBJCole Sillinger: Slashing2 min
- P1 19:05CBJPatrik Laine: High sticking2 min
- P2 5:03CHIAlex DeBrincat: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:29CHIKirby Dach: Hooking2 min
- P3 10:56CBJMax Domi: Tripping2 min
- P3 17:02CBJEmil Bemstrom: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dach won the faceoff against Kuraly
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Kurashev – Dach2:19
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Toews – Kubalik – DeBrincat7:35
xG 0.24–0.21 (53%)attempts 5–6goals 1–0
- Connolly – Khaira – Carpenter7:35
xG 0.08–0.11 (43%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
- Kane – Strome – Borgstrom8:53
xG 0.15–0.18 (44%)attempts 2–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestStillman – Galvas10:45
xG 0.68–0.27 (72%)attempts 13–6goals 1–0
- Jones – Mitchell6:20
xG 0.11–0.10 (54%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
- Murphy – Stillman3:46
xG 0.09–0.10 (47%)attempts 1–4goals 1–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestVoracek – Bjorkstrand – Sillinger12:19
xG 0.53–0.35 (60%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Robinson – Chinakhov8:15
xG 0.34–0.28 (55%)attempts 9–4goals 0–1
- Nyquist – Jenner – Laine11:56
xG 0.23–0.19 (55%)attempts 5–6goals 1–1
- Domi – Roslovic – Bemstrom6:36
xG 0.26–0.25 (50%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWerenski – Boqvist16:06
xG 0.55–0.29 (66%)attempts 15–8goals 1–1
- Werenski – Gavrikov2:09
xG 0.19–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Kukan – Bean11:57
xG 0.40–0.24 (63%)attempts 12–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).