Thu, Jan 13, 2022·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Columbus Blue Jackets 6, Carolina Hurricanes 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 118 | 19 | 48 | 635 |
| CAR | 010 | 09 | 012 | 031 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:43CBJEmil BemstromGWGAssists: Jack Roslovic, Jake Bean · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–0
- P2 11:56CBJEgor ChinakhovAssists: Vladislav Gavrikov, Eric Robinson · Snap, 0.14 xG2–0
- P3 4:26CBJPatrik LaineAssists: Boone Jenner · Slap, 0.06 xG3–0
- P3 5:03CBJEgor ChinakhovAssists: Eric Robinson, Sean Kuraly · Wrist, 0.19 xG4–0
- P3 5:33CBJCole SillingerAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Jake Bean · Wrist, 0.13 xG5–0
- P3 14:26CBJJack RoslovicAssists: Alexandre Texier, Emil Bemstrom · Wrist, 0.10 xG6–0
Penalties (7)
- P1 0:00CARAndrei Svechnikov: Cross checking2 min
- P1 0:00CBJEric Robinson: Roughing2 min
- P2 8:42CARTeuvo Teravainen: Embellishment2 min
- P2 8:42CBJVladislav Gavrikov: Hooking2 min
- P2 18:16CAREthan Bear: Holding2 min
- P3 10:12CBJDean Kukan: Roughing2 min
- P3 13:20CARTony DeAngelo: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Jenner won the faceoff against Trocheck
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestKuraly – Robinson – Chinakhov8:54
xG 1.19–0.13 (90%)attempts 14–4goals 2–0
- Bjorkstrand – Domi – Sillinger11:35
xG 1.22–0.71 (63%)attempts 14–14goals 1–0
- Roslovic – Texier – Bemstrom10:40
xG 0.64–0.84 (43%)attempts 10–11goals 2–0
- Nyquist – Jenner – Laine9:58
xG 0.17–0.48 (26%)attempts 5–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestKukan – Bean11:30
xG 0.91–0.41 (69%)attempts 10–10goals 2–0
- Werenski – Boqvist14:12
xG 1.27–0.98 (56%)attempts 19–16goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Peeke18:01
xG 0.89–1.05 (46%)attempts 16–17goals 3–0
Carolina Hurricanes
Forward lines
- bestStepan – Lorentz – Kotkaniemi7:24
xG 0.23–0.12 (67%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Stepan – Lorentz – Necas2:13
xG 0.07–0.10 (41%)attempts 1–1goals 0–1
- Fast – Trocheck – Svechnikov11:05
xG 0.81–1.14 (41%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
- Teravainen – Aho – Jarvis8:24
xG 0.49–0.94 (34%)attempts 4–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestCole – Bear4:10
xG 0.42–0.01 (97%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Skjei – Pesce7:09
xG 0.54–0.41 (57%)attempts 10–7goals 0–1
- Cole – DeAngelo6:44
xG 0.22–0.10 (69%)attempts 5–2goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CAR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CAR is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CAR − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).