Wed, Feb 9, 2022·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Chicago Blackhawks 4, Edmonton Oilers 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 212 | 06 | 212 | 430 |
| EDM | 013 | 120 | 08 | 141 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:44CHIAlex DeBrincatPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Dylan Strome · Snap, 0.07 xG1–0
- P1 2:47CHIBrandon HagelGWGAssists: Alex DeBrincat, Kirby Dach · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–0
- P2 6:03EDMLeon DraisaitlPPAssists: Evander Kane, Connor McDavid · Wrist, 0.44 xG2–1
- P3 1:08CHIDylan StromePPAssists: Alex DeBrincat, Seth Jones · Tip-in, 0.18 xG3–1
- P3 9:36CHIKirby DachAssists: Brandon Hagel, Jake McCabe · Wrist, 0.13 xG4–1
Penalties (8)
- P1 1:15EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 4:04CHISeth Jones: Slashing2 min
- P2 4:15CHIConnor Murphy: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 8:32EDMEvander Kane: Boarding2 min
- P2 14:21CHICaleb Jones: Holding2 min
- P3 0:48EDMLeon Draisaitl: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 5:06CHISam Lafferty: Interference2 min
- P3 19:42EDMEvander Kane: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Draisaitl won the faceoff against Dach
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDeBrincat – Hagel – Dach9:22
xG 0.94–0.13 (88%)attempts 15–4goals 2–0
- Kane – Kubalik – Strome11:59
xG 0.94–0.73 (56%)attempts 8–19goals 0–0
- Lafferty – Borgstrom – Slavin9:07
xG 0.45–0.48 (49%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
- Carpenter – Entwistle – Kurashev7:27
xG 0.00–0.30 (0%)attempts 2–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMurphy – Jones14:15
xG 0.46–0.30 (60%)attempts 13–14goals 1–0
- de Haan – Jones14:19
xG 1.06–0.95 (53%)attempts 12–21goals 0–0
- de Haan – McCabe2:03
xG 0.13–0.08 (63%)attempts 2–3goals 1–0
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestFoegele – Puljujarvi – McLeod10:55
xG 0.41–0.08 (84%)attempts 16–2goals 0–0
- Hyman – Nugent-Hopkins – McDavid10:11
xG 0.78–0.58 (58%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
- Kassian – Shore – Ryan4:09
xG 0.12–0.06 (66%)attempts 3–2goals 0–1
- Kane – Draisaitl – Yamamoto14:04
xG 0.48–1.28 (27%)attempts 14–16goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestBarrie – Ceci2:35
xG 0.16–0.01 (95%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Barrie – Nurse13:13
xG 0.75–0.65 (54%)attempts 13–11goals 0–1
- Barrie – Lagesson2:47
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
EDM's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line EDM is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (EDM − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).