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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 20, 2022·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Ottawa Senators 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 57% of the time.

PIT winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:04Shot by Chabot, saved by Jarry
  3. P1 1:07Shot by Paul, saved by Jarry
  4. P1 1:09Shot by Paul, saved by Jarry
  5. P1 2:40Shot by Rust, saved by Forsberg
  6. P1 2:52Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Jarry
  7. P1 4:28Goal by Simon (Carter)+22 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Matheson, Ruhwedel, Kapanen, Simon · OTT Holden, Sanford, Chabot, Formenton, Stützle

  8. P1 4:54Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Forsberg
  9. P1 5:16Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Jarry
  10. P1 5:21Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Jarry
  11. P1 5:47Shot by McGinn, saved by Forsberg
  12. P1 6:15Boyle: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: PIT Boyle, Blueger, McGinn, Pettersson, Marino · OTT Watson, Paul, Chabot, Bernard-Docker, Stützle

  13. P1 6:15Watson: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Boyle, Blueger, McGinn, Pettersson, Marino · OTT Watson, Paul, Chabot, Bernard-Docker, Stützle

  14. P1 6:35Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Jarry
  15. P1 6:58Shot by Malkin, saved by Forsberg
  16. P1 7:27Shot by Tierney, saved by Jarry
  17. P1 7:28Shot by Tierney, saved by Jarry
  18. P1 8:39Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Jarry
  19. P1 8:44Shot by Batherson, saved by Jarry
  20. P1 10:10Shot by Batherson, saved by Jarry
  21. P1 10:12Goal by Batherson (Holden)+22 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Matheson, Ruhwedel, Rodrigues, Simon · OTT Holden, Formenton, Batherson, Stützle, Zub

  22. P1 10:37Shot by Bishop, saved by Jarry
  23. P1 11:15Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Jarry
  24. P1 11:37Shot by Kapanen, saved by Forsberg
  25. P1 11:40Goal by Malkin (Kapanen, Matheson)+22 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Matheson, Kapanen, Heinen, Marino · OTT Holden, Watson, Paul, Gambrell, Zub

  26. P1 12:47Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Jarry
  27. P1 12:57Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Jarry
  28. P1 12:58Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Jarry
  29. P1 13:21Batherson: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel · OTT Chabot, Norris, Brannstrom, Batherson, Tkachuk

  30. P1 15:17Shot by Rust, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  31. P1 15:19Shot by Malkin, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  32. P1 15:38Shot by Boyle, saved by Gustavsson
  33. P1 15:57Shot by McGinn, saved by Gustavsson
  34. P1 15:59Goal by Matheson (McGinn, Blueger)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Matheson, Blueger, McGinn, Ruhwedel, Simon · OTT Chabot, Norris, Brannstrom, Batherson, Tkachuk

  35. P1 17:31Letang: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Dumoulin, Kapanen, Heinen · OTT Tierney, Bishop, Chabot, Batherson, Bernard-Docker

  36. P1 18:15Shot by Norris, saved by Jarry4v5
  37. P1 18:21Shot by Stützle, saved by Jarry4v5
  38. P1 18:43Shot by Stützle, saved by Jarry4v5
  39. P1 18:56Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Jarry4v5
  40. P1 19:47Zub: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rust, Ruhwedel, Guentzel, Marino · OTT Watson, Paul, Chabot, Gambrell, Zub

  41. P1 19:52Rust: Holding the stick (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel · OTT Holden, Brown, Paul, Gambrell

  42. P1 0:00Period end4v4
  43. P2 0:00Period start
  44. P2 2:39Shot by Paul, saved by Jarry
  45. P2 3:15Shot by Bishop, saved by Jarry
  46. P2 3:36Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Jarry
  47. P2 3:59Shot by Crosby, saved by Gustavsson
  48. P2 5:06Shot by Zub, saved by Jarry
  49. P2 6:06Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Gustavsson
  50. P2 6:12Shot by Carter, saved by Gustavsson
  51. P2 6:34Shot by Boyle, saved by Gustavsson
  52. P2 6:36Shot by McGinn, saved by Gustavsson
  53. P2 7:22Shot by Guentzel, saved by Gustavsson
  54. P2 7:36Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Gustavsson
  55. P2 9:13Shot by Carter, saved by Gustavsson
  56. P2 10:27Shot by Zub, saved by Jarry
  57. P2 10:44Zub: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Boyle, Matheson, Blueger, McGinn, Marino · OTT Holden, Sanford, Formenton, Stützle, Zub

  58. P2 10:55Shot by Malkin, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  59. P2 11:32Goal by Crosby (Rust, Letang)5v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel · OTT Holden, Brown, Gambrell, Formenton

  60. P2 14:06Kapanen: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Dumoulin, Guentzel, Kapanen · OTT Watson, Paul, Chabot, Bernard-Docker, Stützle

  61. P2 16:34Shot by Boyle, saved by Gustavsson
  62. P2 17:27Shot by Matheson, saved by Gustavsson
  63. P2 17:29Shot by Crosby, saved by Gustavsson
  64. P2 18:21Shot by Brown, saved by Jarry
  65. P2 18:41Goal by Matheson (Carter, Marino)+2 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Matheson, Marino, Rodrigues, Simon · OTT Brown, Sanford, Formenton, Brannstrom, Stützle

  66. P2 19:11Shot by Norris, saved by Jarry
  67. P2 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Period start
  69. P3 1:15Shot by Marino, saved by Gustavsson
  70. P3 1:43Shot by Sanford, saved by Jarry
  71. P3 1:45Goal by Stützle (Sanford, Formenton)+2 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Matheson, Marino, Rodrigues, Simon · OTT Brown, Sanford, Formenton, Brannstrom, Stützle

  72. P3 2:58Shot by Norris, saved by Jarry
  73. P3 3:10Shot by Batherson, saved by Jarry
  74. P3 3:13Shot by Chabot, saved by Jarry
  75. P3 3:33Goal by Norris (Batherson, Tkachuk)+5 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Rust, Heinen, Marino · OTT Chabot, Norris, Batherson, Tkachuk, Bernard-Docker

  76. P3 5:49Bernard-Docker: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rust, Matheson, Guentzel, Marino · OTT Sanford, Chabot, Formenton, Bernard-Docker, Stützle

  77. P3 6:33Shot by Crosby, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  78. P3 7:27Rodrigues: Penalty shot holding on breakaway (0 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Carter, Kapanen, Heinen, Marino, Rodrigues · OTT Brown, Gambrell, Formenton, Brannstrom

  79. P3 7:27Shot by Formenton, saved by Jarryother
  80. P3 7:51Letang: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Matheson, Guentzel · OTT Holden, Gambrell, Formenton, Bernard-Docker, Zub

  81. P3 7:51Formenton: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Matheson, Guentzel · OTT Holden, Gambrell, Formenton, Bernard-Docker, Zub

  82. P3 8:02Goal by Norris (Brannstrom, Tkachuk)4v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Dumoulin, Matheson, Guentzel · OTT Chabot, Norris, Brannstrom, Tkachuk

  83. P3 8:33Shot by Pettersson, saved by Gustavsson4v4
  84. P3 8:38Shot by Malkin, saved by Gustavsson4v4
  85. P3 10:36Shot by Heinen, saved by Gustavsson
  86. P3 10:43Shot by Pettersson, saved by Gustavsson
  87. P3 12:19Shot by Norris, saved by Jarry
  88. P3 13:02Shot by Crosby, saved by Gustavsson
  89. P3 15:16Shot by Tierney, saved by Jarry
  90. P3 15:56Shot by Chabot, saved by Jarry
  91. P3 16:53Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Jarry
  92. P3 17:20Shot by Formenton, saved by Jarry
  93. P3 19:10Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Jarry5v6
  94. P3 19:13Goal by Guentzel (Rust)5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel · OTT Chabot, Norris, Brannstrom, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle

  95. P3 19:50Marino: Fighting (5 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Carter, Matheson, Blueger, McGinn, Marino · OTT Chabot, Norris, Brannstrom, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle

  96. P3 19:50Tkachuk: Fighting (5 min)4v6

    On ice: PIT Carter, Matheson, Blueger, McGinn, Marino · OTT Chabot, Norris, Brannstrom, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle

  97. P3 0:00Period end
  98. P3 0:00Final