Sat, Jan 22, 2022·Madison Square Garden, New York
Arizona Coyotes 3, New York Rangers 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 216 | 17 | 06 | 329 |
| NYR | 14 | 412 | 211 | 727 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:29ARILiam O'BrienAssists: Loui Eriksson, Shayne Gostisbehere · Wrist, 0.22 xG1–0
- P1 3:15NYRJacob TroubaAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Chris Kreider · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–1
- P1 6:56ARIAndrew LaddAssists: Christian Fischer, Riley Nash · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–1
- P2 7:01ARIClayton KellerAssists: Nick Schmaltz, Travis Boyd · Wrist, 0.17 xG3–1
- P2 11:30NYRChris KreiderSHAssists: Jacob Trouba, Mika Zibanejad · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–2
- P2 15:26NYRJulien GauthierAssists: Dryden Hunt, Kevin Rooney · Wrist, 0.20 xG3–3
- P2 16:33NYRArtemi PanarinPPGWGAssists: Adam Fox, Mika Zibanejad · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–4
- P2 18:42NYRChris KreiderUnassisted · Wrist, 0.16 xG3–5
- P3 1:33NYRJacob TroubaAssists: K'Andre Miller, Ryan Strome · Wrist, 0.01 xG3–6
- P3 10:06NYRChris KreiderPPAssists: Adam Fox, Artemi Panarin · Backhand, 0.23 xG3–7
Penalties (9)
- P1 10:26NYRRyan Strome: Cross checking2 min
- P1 11:21ARITravis Boyd: High sticking2 min
- P2 10:20NYRRyan Strome: Slashing2 min
- P2 16:18ARIJohan Larsson: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 6:19NYRAlexis Lafrenière: Tripping2 min
- P3 9:41ARIAlex Galchenyuk: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 13:34ARIKyle Capobianco: Holding2 min
- P3 15:15NYRKevin Rooney: Hooking2 min
- P3 19:46NYRAlexis Lafrenière: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Boyd won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Galchenyuk – O'Brien10:10
xG 0.69–0.15 (82%)attempts 11–7goals 1–0
- Ladd – Nash – Fischer9:00
xG 0.47–0.18 (73%)attempts 10–5goals 1–1
- Boyd – Schmaltz – Keller10:51
xG 0.48–0.41 (54%)attempts 8–9goals 1–1
- Kessel – Larsson – Crouse10:22
xG 0.17–0.51 (26%)attempts 7–11goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestGostisbehere – Capobianco12:58
xG 0.67–0.19 (78%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
- Stralman – Moser13:41
xG 0.33–0.37 (48%)attempts 10–9goals 0–1
- Chychrun – Lyubushkin12:33
xG 0.41–0.72 (36%)attempts 10–17goals 1–3
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Zibanejad – Panarin8:04
xG 0.45–0.08 (85%)attempts 9–5goals 1–0
- Hunt – Rooney – Gauthier2:32
xG 0.27–0.05 (85%)attempts 3–2goals 1–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Hunt4:34
xG 0.15–0.12 (55%)attempts 4–3goals 1–0
- Strome – Goodrow – Lafrenière8:53
xG 0.28–0.30 (48%)attempts 12–5goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestTrouba – Miller16:52
xG 0.89–0.79 (53%)attempts 25–13goals 4–1
- Fox – Lindgren15:23
xG 0.28–0.71 (29%)attempts 11–15goals 0–0
- Nemeth – Schneider13:34
xG 0.25–1.15 (18%)attempts 6–20goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).