Mon, Jan 24, 2022·TD Garden, Boston
Anaheim Ducks 5, Boston Bruins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 111 | 29 | 27 | 527 |
| BOS | 05 | 210 | 111 | 326 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:59ANADerek GrantPPAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Hampus Lindholm · Tip-in, 0.14 xG1–0
- P2 1:28ANAIsac LundeströmSHAssists: Hampus Lindholm · Wrist, 0.25 xG2–0
- P2 7:47BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: Tomas Nosek, Nick Foligno · Snap, 0.14 xG2–1
- P2 11:04ANARyan GetzlafAssists: Rickard Rakell, Hampus Lindholm · Snap, 0.07 xG3–1
- P2 15:52BOSTaylor HallPPAssists: Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–2
- P3 6:12ANATroy TerryGWGAssists: Kevin Shattenkirk, Cam Fowler · Wrist, 0.08 xG4–2
- P3 10:58ANAGreg PaterynAssists: Trevor Zegras, Rickard Rakell · Slap, 0.04 xG5–2
- P3 16:28BOSErik HaulaAssists: Mike Reilly, David Pastrnak · Snap, 0.13 xG5–3
Penalties (7)
- P1 0:44BOSCharlie McAvoy: Hooking2 min
- P1 9:09BOSOskar Steen: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P2 0:17ANATrevor Zegras: Slashing2 min
- P2 8:55ANASam Carrick: Fighting5 min
- P2 8:55BOSNick Foligno: Fighting5 min
- P2 14:59ANAJosh Mahura: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 0:26BOSUrho Vaakanainen: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Getzlaf
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestTerry – Steel – Comtois8:04
xG 0.32–0.15 (68%)attempts 3–8goals 1–0
- Getzlaf – Rakell – Zegras12:34
xG 0.29–0.35 (46%)attempts 8–9goals 1–0
- Grant – Silfverberg – Lundeström11:25
xG 0.02–0.49 (5%)attempts 2–17goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPateryn – Mahura7:51
xG 0.68–0.30 (69%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Pateryn – Lindholm2:42
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Fowler – Drysdale2:28
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Smith10:39
xG 0.57–0.08 (88%)attempts 15–4goals 0–0
- Hall – Nosek – Pastrnak4:14
xG 0.36–0.11 (77%)attempts 7–2goals 1–2
- Haula – Lazar – Pastrnak2:57
xG 0.24–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 1–0
- Foligno – Lazar – Nosek4:07
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestReilly – Carlo10:08
xG 0.49–0.18 (73%)attempts 10–6goals 2–1
- Forbort – Clifton11:35
xG 0.22–0.02 (93%)attempts 11–1goals 0–0
- McAvoy – Vaakanainen12:13
xG 0.51–0.43 (54%)attempts 13–6goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).