Fri, Jan 28, 2022·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Boston Bruins 2, Arizona Coyotes 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 19 | 112 | 016 | 237 |
| ARI | 18 | 014 | 09 | 131 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:31BOSErik HaulaAssists: David Pastrnak, Derek Forbort · Snap, 0.13 xG1–0
- P1 18:04ARINick SchmaltzAssists: Shayne Gostisbehere, Clayton Keller · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–1
- P2 13:41BOSCharlie McAvoyPPGWGAssists: Brad Marchand, David Pastrnak · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–1
Penalties (9)
- P1 1:30ARIJakob Chychrun: Closing hand on puck2 min
- P2 12:05ARIShayne Gostisbehere: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 14:00BOSMike Reilly: Interference2 min
- P2 19:33BOSCurtis Lazar: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 2:14BOSCharlie McAvoy: Roughing2 min
- P3 2:14ARIAntoine Roussel: Roughing2 min
- P3 2:14ARIAntoine Roussel: Roughing2 min
- P3 4:29ARILawson Crouse: Tripping2 min
- P3 6:04BOSPatrice Bergeron: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Nash
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Smith6:44
xG 0.26–0.03 (88%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Steen3:08
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Smith – Coyle – DeBrusk3:18
xG 0.07–0.02 (80%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Blidh – Lazar – Nosek5:49
xG 0.12–0.13 (48%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMcAvoy – Vaakanainen8:04
xG 0.31–0.03 (93%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Grzelcyk – Carlo5:37
xG 0.33–0.05 (87%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Reilly – Carlo7:43
xG 0.31–0.15 (67%)attempts 7–7goals 0–1
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestLadd – Kessel – Dzingel9:30
xG 0.68–0.25 (73%)attempts 12–8goals 0–1
- Boyd – Schmaltz – Keller12:27
xG 0.17–0.21 (45%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Nash – Roussel – Fischer6:50
xG 0.16–0.26 (38%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Eriksson – Galchenyuk – Crouse6:05
xG 0.25–0.36 (41%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestStralman – Moser10:06
xG 0.51–0.45 (53%)attempts 11–8goals 0–1
- Stralman – Gostisbehere2:00
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Chychrun – Lyubushkin13:22
xG 0.18–0.38 (32%)attempts 8–14goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).