Sat, Jan 29, 2022·FLA Live Arena, Sunrise
San Jose Sharks 4, Florida Panthers 5 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 216 | 110 | 18 | 00 | 434 |
| FLA | 117 | 020 | 312 | 11 | 550 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:10SJSTomas HertlAssists: Rudolfs Balcers · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–0
- P1 17:17SJSJonathan DahlenPPAssists: Noah Gregor, Nick Bonino · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–0
- P1 19:06FLAGustav ForslingAssists: Sam Reinhart, Mason Marchment · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–1
- P2 1:31SJSMatt NietoAssists: Nick Bonino, Marc-Edouard Vlasic · Slap, 0.24 xG3–1
- P3 1:26FLAAleksander BarkovAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau, Carter Verhaeghe · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–2
- P3 4:50SJSJonathan DahlenPPAssists: Brent Burns, Nick Bonino · Wrist, 0.07 xG4–2
- P3 7:30FLAMason MarchmentAssists: Sam Reinhart · Snap, 0.39 xG4–3
- P3 9:38FLAJonathan HuberdeauAssists: Carter Verhaeghe, MacKenzie Weegar · Snap, 0.20 xG4–4
- OT 1:08FLASam BennettGWGAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau, Gustav Forsling · Wrist, 0.22 xG4–5
Penalties (5)
- P1 0:51SJSBrent Burns: Hooking2 min
- P1 0:51FLARyan Lomberg: Embellishment2 min
- P1 15:52FLAAnthony Duclair: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
- P2 2:15SJSJaycob Megna: Tripping2 min
- P3 3:10FLABrandon Montour: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against Thornton
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- Cogliano – Bonino – Nieto10:34
xG 0.60–0.70 (46%)attempts 5–14goals 1–1
- Hertl – Gregor – Barabanov3:35
xG 0.00–0.17 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Hertl – Balcers – Barabanov9:06
xG 0.68–1.02 (40%)attempts 7–15goals 1–0
- Gregor – Gadjovich – Weatherby6:49
xG 0.22–0.58 (27%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Vlasic7:20
xG 0.71–0.16 (82%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Meloche7:30
xG 0.63–0.24 (73%)attempts 6–5goals 2–0
- Megna – Meloche7:32
xG 0.23–0.23 (50%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestReinhart – Marchment – Lundell11:00
xG 1.68–0.36 (82%)attempts 15–9goals 2–0
- Huberdeau – Verhaeghe – Barkov10:05
xG 1.50–0.48 (76%)attempts 24–4goals 2–0
- Thornton – Lomberg – Luostarinen8:56
xG 1.05–0.06 (95%)attempts 14–2goals 0–0
- Duclair – Bennett – Tippett5:19
xG 0.70–0.37 (65%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWeegar – Ekblad20:43
xG 1.75–0.86 (67%)attempts 31–9goals 2–0
- Montour – Carlsson8:36
xG 0.90–0.46 (66%)attempts 10–6goals 0–1
- Gudas – Forsling15:50
xG 2.07–1.76 (54%)attempts 24–14goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).