Sat, Jan 29, 2022·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Vancouver Canucks 0, Calgary Flames 1 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 81% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 01 | 08 | 06 | 00 | 015 |
| CGY | 07 | 013 | 011 | 11 | 132 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- OT 0:29CGYJohnny GaudreauGWGAssists: Elias Lindholm · Slap, 0.23 xG0–1
Penalties (10)
- P1 7:10VANBrad Hunt: Holding2 min
- P1 13:02VANTyler Myers: Match penatly 10 minutes10 min
- P1 13:02CGYBrett Ritchie: Roughing2 min
- P1 13:02VANTyler Myers: Roughing2 min
- P2 0:10VANBo Horvat: Hooking2 min
- P2 3:35CGYBrett Ritchie: Interference2 min
- P2 14:22VANLuke Schenn: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
- P3 7:21VANNils Hoglander: Elbowing2 min
- P3 10:41CGYDillon Dube: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:03CGYSean Monahan: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horvat won the faceoff against Backlund
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Motte – Lammikko – Highmore8:22
xG 0.15–0.12 (57%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Chiasson – Dickinson – Hoglander5:22
xG 0.18–0.17 (51%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Miller – Boeser – Podkolzin8:21
xG 0.37–0.46 (45%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
- Horvat – Garland – Pettersson9:15
xG 0.11–0.39 (23%)attempts 5–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchenn – Ekman-Larsson4:04
xG 0.25–0.02 (93%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Ekman-Larsson – Juulsen7:12
xG 0.30–0.12 (71%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Schenn – Hughes11:55
xG 0.40–0.43 (48%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
Calgary Flames
Forward lines
- bestLewis – Ritchie – Ruzicka6:06
xG 0.22–0.04 (83%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
- Gaudreau – Lindholm – Tkachuk12:30
xG 0.59–0.43 (58%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Backlund – Coleman – Mangiapane7:52
xG 0.25–0.15 (62%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Lucic – Monahan – Dube7:59
xG 0.13–0.34 (27%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHanifin – Andersson13:54
xG 0.38–0.10 (80%)attempts 15–5goals 0–0
- Gudbranson – Zadorov11:22
xG 0.43–0.24 (65%)attempts 14–6goals 0–0
- Tanev – Kylington14:36
xG 0.48–0.67 (42%)attempts 15–14goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CGY's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CGY is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 81% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CGY − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).