Wed, Feb 23, 2022·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Los Angeles Kings 3, Arizona Coyotes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 88% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 014 | 213 | 18 | 335 |
| ARI | 04 | 210 | 05 | 219 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 6:25ARIClayton KellerAssists: Nick Schmaltz, J.J. Moser · Wrist, 0.15 xG0–1
- P2 6:43LAKBlake LizotteAssists: Mikey Anderson, Brendan Lemieux · Tip-in, 0.08 xG1–1
- P2 7:35LAKViktor ArvidssonAssists: Trevor Moore, Phillip Danault · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–1
- P2 13:03ARIBarrett HaytonAssists: Vladislav Kolyachonok · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–2
- P3 16:21LAKViktor ArvidssonGWGAssists: Matt Roy, Trevor Moore · Snap, 0.07 xG3–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 16:02LAKBrendan Lemieux: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:50ARILiam O'Brien: Tripping2 min
- P3 1:30ARITravis Boyd: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 6:53ARILiam O'Brien: Misconduct10 min
- P3 17:03LAKAdrian Kempe: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Galchenyuk won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Kempe – Iafallo13:35
xG 0.96–0.21 (82%)attempts 22–12goals 0–0
- Lemieux – Lizotte – Kaliyev9:10
xG 0.45–0.05 (89%)attempts 10–3goals 1–0
- Danault – Arvidsson – Moore12:24
xG 0.54–0.26 (67%)attempts 14–5goals 2–0
- Brown – Athanasiou – Byfield8:02
xG 0.07–0.41 (15%)attempts 4–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMaatta – Roy13:40
xG 1.14–0.35 (76%)attempts 24–12goals 2–0
- Doughty – Anderson19:41
xG 0.70–0.39 (64%)attempts 19–9goals 1–1
- Durzi – Bjornfot11:47
xG 0.24–0.32 (43%)attempts 9–10goals 0–1
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestBoyd – Schmaltz – Keller13:14
xG 0.52–0.40 (57%)attempts 14–9goals 1–1
- Nash – O'Brien – Fischer7:49
xG 0.08–0.13 (40%)attempts 3–4goals 0–1
- Eriksson – Roussel – Hayton7:50
xG 0.21–0.36 (37%)attempts 6–7goals 1–0
- Kessel – Galchenyuk – Crouse11:33
xG 0.17–1.04 (14%)attempts 8–20goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestStralman – Chychrun2:27
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Chychrun – Kolyachonok9:54
xG 0.31–0.22 (58%)attempts 8–4goals 1–1
- Stralman – Moser14:41
xG 0.21–0.68 (23%)attempts 5–16goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 88% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).