Fri, Feb 25, 2022·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Vegas Golden Knights 1, Arizona Coyotes 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 016 | 112 | 016 | 144 |
| ARI | 09 | 113 | 210 | 332 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 11:03VGKWilliam CarrierAssists: Zach Whitecloud, Brayden McNabb · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–0
- P2 14:16ARIShayne GostisbehereAssists: Jakob Chychrun, Alex Galchenyuk · Slap, 0.02 xG1–1
- P3 3:16ARINick SchmaltzGWGAssists: Anton Stralman, Travis Boyd · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–2
- P3 19:29ARINick SchmaltzENAssists: Clayton Keller, Jakob Chychrun · Wrist, 0.76 xG1–3
Penalties (5)
- P1 1:47ARINick Ritchie: Interference2 min
- P1 4:59ARILawson Crouse: Hooking2 min
- P1 15:20VGKMichael Amadio: Interference2 min
- P2 18:13VGKZach Whitecloud: High sticking2 min
- P3 8:17VGKChandler Stephenson: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Eichel won the faceoff against Boyd
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestCarrier – Kolesar – Howden7:40
xG 0.88–0.46 (66%)attempts 13–4goals 1–0
- Dadonov – Smith – Karlsson11:06
xG 0.63–0.31 (67%)attempts 16–7goals 0–1
- Stephenson – Eichel – Roy6:08
xG 0.53–0.29 (65%)attempts 13–4goals 0–0
- Janmark – Amadio – Roy6:47
xG 0.47–0.44 (51%)attempts 10–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHague – Whitecloud13:03
xG 1.24–0.33 (79%)attempts 21–13goals 1–0
- McNabb – Theodore13:53
xG 1.03–0.69 (60%)attempts 20–11goals 0–1
- Pietrangelo – Hague2:49
xG 0.27–0.03 (90%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestRoussel – O'Brien – Fischer9:45
xG 0.90–0.79 (53%)attempts 9–15goals 0–0
- Boyd – Schmaltz – Keller14:03
xG 0.64–0.85 (43%)attempts 10–22goals 1–0
- Eriksson – Ritchie – Hayton7:36
xG 0.27–0.55 (33%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
- Kessel – Galchenyuk – Crouse10:23
xG 0.27–0.87 (24%)attempts 10–15goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Stralman – Chychrun2:29
xG 0.15–0.22 (39%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Gostisbehere – Mayo15:24
xG 0.55–0.91 (38%)attempts 13–22goals 0–1
- Chychrun – Kolyachonok12:42
xG 0.56–0.92 (38%)attempts 13–17goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it VGK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − VGK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).