Sat, Feb 26, 2022·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Boston Bruins 3, San Jose Sharks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 19 | 015 | 213 | 337 |
| SJS | 05 | 14 | 07 | 116 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:24BOSBrad MarchandAssists: Jake DeBrusk, Erik Haula · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–0
- P2 12:50SJSTimo MeierPPAssists: Brent Burns, Logan Couture · Slap, 0.10 xG1–1
- P3 3:18BOSBrad MarchandGWGAssists: Taylor Hall, Craig Smith · Slap, 0.12 xG2–1
- P3 19:20BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–1
Penalties (8)
- P1 1:44BOSErik Haula: High sticking double minor4 min
- P1 15:28BOSCraig Smith: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 3:34SJSMario Ferraro: Holding2 min
- P2 12:03BOSTaylor Hall: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 14:56SJSRyan Dzingel: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 1:12SJSNoah Gregor: High sticking2 min
- P3 15:38BOSConnor Clifton: Roughing2 min
- P3 15:38SJSJeffrey Viel: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bonino won the faceoff against Coyle
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – DeBrusk7:19
xG 0.50–0.00 (100%)attempts 14–1goals 0–0
- Foligno – Nosek – Froden8:32
xG 0.42–0.16 (73%)attempts 13–5goals 0–0
- Smith – Coyle – Frederic8:30
xG 0.05–0.13 (28%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Haula – Hall – Pastrnak9:31
xG 0.17–0.39 (31%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestReilly – McAvoy13:49
xG 0.54–0.16 (77%)attempts 15–9goals 0–0
- Reilly – Clifton3:06
xG 0.21–0.04 (85%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Forbort – McAvoy2:14
xG 0.23–0.07 (77%)attempts 2–1goals 1–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHertl – Meier – Barabanov9:28
xG 0.29–0.14 (68%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Bonino – Nieto – Dahlen5:29
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 3–5goals 0–1
- Viel – Gadjovich – Weatherby6:14
xG 0.13–0.26 (33%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Couture – Dzingel – Gregor7:39
xG 0.31–0.58 (35%)attempts 6–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Merkley2:15
xG 0.19–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Simek3:45
xG 0.19–0.11 (62%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Middleton2:32
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).