Wed, Mar 9, 2022·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Montréal Canadiens 3, Vancouver Canucks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 16 | 19 | 110 | 325 |
| VAN | 17 | 114 | 312 | 533 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:41MTLArtturi LehkonenAssists: Jake Evans, Rem Pitlick · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–0
- P1 13:35VANTravis HamonicAssists: Brad Hunt, J.T. Miller · Slap, 0.04 xG1–1
- P2 10:34VANBrock BoeserPPAssists: J.T. Miller, Quinn Hughes · Wrist, 0.29 xG1–2
- P2 14:22MTLArtturi LehkonenAssists: Rem Pitlick · Wrist, 0.26 xG2–2
- P3 3:44VANJ.T. MillerUnassisted · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–3
- P3 8:53VANElias PetterssonPPGWGAssists: J.T. Miller, Bo Horvat · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–4
- P3 15:35MTLRem PitlickAssists: Cole Caufield, Artturi Lehkonen · Slap, 0.15 xG3–4
- P3 19:02VANBo HorvatENAssists: Tanner Pearson, Elias Pettersson · Backhand, 0.72 xG3–5
Penalties (8)
- P1 0:14VANTyler Motte: Tripping2 min
- P1 3:10MTLBrett Kulak: Holding2 min
- P2 1:27MTLMike Hoffman: Slashing2 min
- P2 6:36VANJ.T. Miller: Slashing2 min
- P2 10:25MTLJosh Anderson: Closing hand on puck2 min · PPG
- P2 17:12VANTyler Myers: Cross checking2 min
- P3 7:36MTLBen Chiarot: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 10:47VANBo Horvat: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lammikko won the faceoff against Suzuki
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestLehkonen – Evans – Pitlick8:51
xG 0.66–0.48 (58%)attempts 9–12goals 2–0
- Byron – Armia – Poehling4:19
xG 0.01–0.04 (25%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Anderson – Suzuki – Caufield13:40
xG 0.27–0.65 (29%)attempts 12–12goals 0–0
- Hoffman – Gallagher – Dauphin7:18
xG 0.03–1.07 (3%)attempts 2–14goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- Chiarot – Romanov13:52
xG 0.37–0.78 (32%)attempts 10–17goals 0–0
- Wideman – Clague9:15
xG 0.04–0.61 (7%)attempts 3–11goals 0–0
- Petry – Kulak15:00
xG 0.60–1.20 (33%)attempts 15–20goals 2–2
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestGarland – Pettersson – Hoglander9:53
xG 0.81–0.20 (80%)attempts 15–7goals 0–1
- Miller – Pearson – Boeser10:25
xG 0.83–0.26 (76%)attempts 12–7goals 2–0
- Motte – Lammikko – Highmore9:09
xG 0.54–0.03 (95%)attempts 11–3goals 0–0
- Chiasson – Horvat – Podkolzin8:05
xG 0.29–0.41 (42%)attempts 7–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHamonic – Hunt10:48
xG 0.85–0.30 (74%)attempts 16–9goals 1–0
- Schenn – Hughes12:08
xG 0.61–0.22 (74%)attempts 15–10goals 1–1
- Myers – Ekman-Larsson15:33
xG 0.79–0.52 (60%)attempts 13–10goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).