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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 10, 2022·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Minnesota Wild 6, Detroit Red Wings 5 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 54% of the time.

DET winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:18Shot by Suter, saved by Talbot
  3. P1 1:37Goal by Boldy (Fiala, Gaudreau)+10 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Oesterle, Fabbri, Hronek, Suter · MIN Goligoski, Kulikov, Gaudreau, Fiala, Boldy

  4. P1 3:19Shot by Sturm, saved by Nedeljkovic
  5. P1 3:38Shot by Dumba, saved by Nedeljkovic
  6. P1 3:47Shot by Greenway, saved by Nedeljkovic
  7. P1 5:31Shot by Fabbri, saved by Talbot
  8. P1 6:14Goal by Vrana (Veleno, Gagner)+11 pts WP

    On ice: DET Gagner, Oesterle, Vrana, Hronek, Veleno · MIN Brodin, Dumba, Gaudreau, Fiala, Boldy

  9. P1 7:32Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Talbot
  10. P1 7:33Bjugstad: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: DET Leddy, Namestnikov, Larkin, Seider, Raymond · MIN Goligoski, Kulikov, Bjugstad, Duhaime, Sturm

  11. P1 8:16Shot by Seider, saved by Talbot5v4
  12. P1 10:10Shot by Hartman, saved by Nedeljkovic
  13. P1 12:07Goal by Eriksson Ek, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Namestnikov, Oesterle, Larkin, Hronek, Raymond · MIN Foligno, Brodin, Dumba, Greenway, Eriksson Ek

  14. P1 12:50Shot by Hronek, saved by Talbot
  15. P1 14:09Goal by Raymond (Leddy, Nedeljkovic)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Leddy, Namestnikov, Larkin, Seider, Raymond · MIN Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Merrill, Hartman, Kaprizov

  16. P1 14:54Shot by Leddy, saved by Talbot
  17. P1 14:57Zuccarello: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Leddy, Namestnikov, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Seider · MIN Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Merrill, Hartman, Kaprizov

  18. P1 16:37Greenway: High sticking (2 min)6v4

    On ice: DET Gagner, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri, Seider, Raymond · MIN Goligoski, Kulikov, Duhaime, Sturm

  19. P1 17:16Shot by Larkin, saved by Talbot5v4
  20. P1 17:48Shot by Fiala, saved by Nedeljkovic5v4
  21. P1 18:06Shot by Sturm, saved by Nedeljkovic5v4
  22. P1 18:31Goal by Vrana (Hronek, Leddy)5v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: DET Leddy, Vrana, Hronek, Rasmussen, Zadina · MIN Goligoski, Kulikov, Fiala, Sturm

  23. P1 19:24Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Nedeljkovic
  24. P1 19:52Shot by Fiala, saved by Nedeljkovic
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:35Shot by Erne, saved by Talbot
  28. P2 0:49Shot by Larkin, saved by Talbot
  29. P2 1:41Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Nedeljkovic
  30. P2 2:08Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Nedeljkovic
  31. P2 2:31Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Talbot
  32. P2 5:52Goal by Raymond (Leddy, Namestnikov)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Leddy, Namestnikov, Larkin, Seider, Raymond · MIN Spurgeon, Merrill, Gaudreau, Fiala, Boldy

  33. P2 8:30Rasmussen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Staal, Erne, Stecher, Rasmussen, Zadina · MIN Goligoski, Kulikov, Foligno, Greenway, Eriksson Ek

  34. P2 9:15Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  35. P2 9:31Goal by Zuccarello (Spurgeon, Hartman)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Leddy, Bertuzzi, Hronek, Suter · MIN Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Hartman, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov

  36. P2 10:27Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Nedeljkovic
  37. P2 12:43Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Nedeljkovic
  38. P2 14:50Shot by Staal, saved by Talbot
  39. P2 17:11Shot by Raymond, saved by Talbot
  40. P2 17:36Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Talbot
  41. P2 18:11Shot by Gagner, saved by Talbot
  42. P2 19:26Shot by Goligoski, saved by Nedeljkovic
  43. P2 19:58Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Nedeljkovic
  44. P2 19:59Shot by Brodin, saved by Nedeljkovic
  45. P2 0:00Greenway: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Namestnikov, Oesterle, Larkin, Hronek, Raymond · MIN Foligno, Brodin, Dumba, Greenway, Eriksson Ek

  46. P2 0:00Raymond: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Namestnikov, Oesterle, Larkin, Hronek, Raymond · MIN Foligno, Brodin, Dumba, Greenway, Eriksson Ek

  47. P2 0:00Nedeljkovic: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Namestnikov, Oesterle, Larkin, Hronek, Raymond · MIN Foligno, Brodin, Dumba, Greenway, Eriksson Ek

  48. P2 0:00Dumba: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Namestnikov, Oesterle, Larkin, Hronek, Raymond · MIN Foligno, Brodin, Dumba, Greenway, Eriksson Ek

  49. P2 0:00Talbot: Goalie leave crease (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Namestnikov, Oesterle, Larkin, Hronek, Raymond · MIN Foligno, Brodin, Dumba, Greenway, Eriksson Ek

  50. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:54Shot by Vrana, saved by Talbot5v4
  53. P3 2:21Shot by Veleno, saved by Talbot
  54. P3 2:44Shot by Fiala, saved by Nedeljkovic
  55. P3 2:54Shot by Fiala, saved by Nedeljkovic
  56. P3 3:04Goal by Boldy (Gaudreau, Goligoski)+26 pts WP

    On ice: DET Leddy, Namestnikov, Erne, Stecher, Rasmussen · MIN Goligoski, Spurgeon, Gaudreau, Fiala, Boldy

  57. P3 4:13Shot by Brodin, saved by Nedeljkovic
  58. P3 4:21Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Nedeljkovic
  59. P3 5:27Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Nedeljkovic
  60. P3 6:01Shot by Vrana, saved by Talbot
  61. P3 6:26Shot by Fiala, saved by Nedeljkovic
  62. P3 6:34Shot by Brodin, saved by Nedeljkovic
  63. P3 6:39Shot by Oesterle, saved by Talbot
  64. P3 8:42Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Nedeljkovic
  65. P3 8:47Bjugstad: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Staal, Gagner, Vrana, Stecher, Veleno · MIN Goligoski, Spurgeon, Bjugstad, Duhaime, Sturm

  66. P3 8:47Veleno: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Staal, Gagner, Vrana, Stecher, Veleno · MIN Goligoski, Spurgeon, Bjugstad, Duhaime, Sturm

  67. P3 9:36Shot by Larkin, saved by Talbot4v4
  68. P3 10:32Shot by Fiala, saved by Nedeljkovic4v4
  69. P3 10:42Shot by Hronek, saved by Talbot4v4
  70. P3 10:44Shot by Raymond, saved by Talbot4v4
  71. P3 10:47Shot by Raymond, saved by Talbot
  72. P3 11:06Shot by Brodin, saved by Nedeljkovic
  73. P3 11:22Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Talbot
  74. P3 11:50Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Talbot
  75. P3 12:13Goal by Kaprizov (Dumba, Eriksson Ek)+37 pts WP

    On ice: DET Leddy, Namestnikov, Larkin, Seider, Raymond · MIN Zuccarello, Brodin, Dumba, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov

  76. P3 12:39Shot by Zadina, saved by Talbot
  77. P3 13:08Shot by Brodin, saved by Nedeljkovic
  78. P3 14:14Shot by Erne, saved by Talbot
  79. P3 15:27Shot by Leddy, saved by Talbot
  80. P3 15:40Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Nedeljkovic
  81. P3 16:56Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Nedeljkovic
  82. P3 17:09Goal by Oesterle (Zadina, Veleno)+44 pts WP

    On ice: DET Gagner, Leddy, Oesterle, Veleno, Zadina · MIN Brodin, Dumba, Gaudreau, Fiala, Boldy

  83. P3 18:06Shot by Raymond, saved by Talbot
  84. P3 18:56Shot by Gagner, saved by Talbot
  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. OT 0:00Period start
  87. OT 0:59Shot by Fiala, saved by Nedeljkovic3v3
  88. OT 1:23Shot by Fiala, saved by Nedeljkovic3v3
  89. OT 1:59Shot by Goligoski, saved by Nedeljkovic3v3
  90. OT 2:09Shot by Hartman, saved by Nedeljkovic3v3
  91. OT 2:37Shot by Boldy, saved by Nedeljkovic3v3
  92. OT 2:58Shot by Brodin, saved by Nedeljkovic3v3
  93. OT 3:20Shot by Foligno, saved by Nedeljkovic3v3
  94. OT 5:00Period endother
  95. SO Period start
  96. SO Goal by Zuccarello, unassistedother
  97. SO Goal by Fiala, unassistedother
  98. SO Period endother
  99. SO Final