Sat, Mar 12, 2022·Centre Bell, Montreal
Seattle Kraken 4, Montréal Canadiens 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 29 | 114 | 09 | 03 | 1 | 435 |
| MTL | 116 | 08 | 25 | 04 | 0 | 333 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:26SEAYanni GourdeSHUnassisted · Backhand, 0.09 xG1–0
- P1 14:50MTLMichael PezzettaAssists: Jake Evans · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–1
- P1 16:42SEARyan DonatoAssists: Marcus Johansson, Vince Dunn · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–1
- P2 15:05SEAJared McCannPPAssists: Marcus Johansson, Morgan Geekie · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–1
- P3 1:04MTLAlexander RomanovAssists: Rem Pitlick, Jeff Petry · Slap, 0.05 xG3–2
- P3 17:48MTLNick SuzukiAssists: Ben Chiarot, Alexander Romanov · Wrist, 0.01 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. MTL Rem Pitlick stopped
- 2. SEA Ryan Donato stopped
- 3. MTL Cole Caufield stopped
- 4. SEA Jordan Eberle stopped
- 5. MTL Nick Suzuki stopped
- 6. SEA Jared McCann stopped
- 7. MTL Mike Hoffman stopped
- 8. SEA Riley Sheahan stopped
- 9. MTL Paul Byron stopped
- 10. SEA Morgan Geekie stopped
- 11. MTL Joel Armia stopped
- 12. SEA Calle Jarnkrok stopped
- 13. MTL Michael Pezzetta stopped
- 14. SEA Marcus Johansson scored
Penalties (9)
- P1 5:19SEAVince Dunn: Interference2 min
- P1 8:54SEARyan Donato: Slashing2 min
- P2 0:46SEAMorgan Geekie: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 3:10MTLRem Pitlick: Tripping2 min
- P2 4:35SEARyan Donato: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 14:35MTLJosh Anderson: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 18:07MTLJoel Edmundson: Interference2 min
- P3 2:25SEAMorgan Geekie: Hooking2 min
- P3 9:42SEAJeremy Lauzon: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gourde won the faceoff against Evans
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestJohansson – Sheahan – Donato2:23
xG 0.21–0.04 (84%)attempts 4–3goals 1–0
- Sheahan – Donato – Geekie4:00
xG 0.08–0.02 (79%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Schwartz – McCann – Lind8:59
xG 0.23–0.21 (52%)attempts 10–5goals 0–1
- Eberle – Jarnkrok – Geekie3:41
xG 0.10–0.31 (25%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Dunn – Lauzon11:57
xG 0.44–0.40 (53%)attempts 11–9goals 1–1
- Giordano – Larsson13:10
xG 0.52–0.52 (50%)attempts 14–12goals 0–1
- Oleksiak – Dunn2:35
xG 0.01–0.12 (9%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestArmia – Lehkonen – Poehling9:05
xG 0.54–0.33 (62%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Hoffman – Gallagher – Pitlick8:35
xG 0.50–0.32 (61%)attempts 8–9goals 1–1
- Byron – Armia – Evans2:07
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Anderson – Suzuki – Caufield12:56
xG 0.52–0.54 (49%)attempts 12–12goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestChiarot – Romanov14:41
xG 0.57–0.32 (64%)attempts 12–12goals 1–0
- Kulak – Romanov3:13
xG 0.31–0.08 (79%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Petry – Edmundson13:22
xG 0.29–0.33 (46%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).