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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 15, 2022·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Pittsburgh Penguins 1, Nashville Predators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 61% of the time.

NSH winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:00Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Saros
  3. P1 2:18Shot by Fabbro, saved by DeSmith
  4. P1 2:57Shot by Marino, saved by Saros
  5. P1 2:58Shot by Boyle, saved by Saros
  6. P1 6:07Shot by Friedman, saved by Saros
  7. P1 7:12Shot by Letang, saved by Saros
  8. P1 7:41Shot by Cousins, saved by DeSmith
  9. P1 8:12Shot by Blueger, saved by Saros
  10. P1 8:54Forsberg: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Granlund, Forsberg, Fabbro · PIT Crosby, Ruhwedel, Guentzel, Friedman, Rodrigues

  11. P1 10:07Shot by Guentzel, saved by Saros4v5
  12. P1 10:10Shot by Crosby, saved by Saros4v5
  13. P1 10:47Shot by Jeannot, saved by DeSmith4v5
  14. P1 11:08Shot by Duchene, saved by DeSmith
  15. P1 11:46Shot by Marino, saved by Saros
  16. P1 12:45Shot by Matheson, saved by Saros
  17. P1 12:57Shot by Guentzel, saved by Saros
  18. P1 13:54Shot by Tomasino, saved by DeSmith
  19. P1 14:00Shot by McCarron, saved by DeSmith
  20. P1 15:22Heinen: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Carrier, Kunin, Tolvanen · PIT Malkin, Rust, Matheson, Heinen, Marino

  21. P1 17:01Shot by Tomasino, saved by DeSmith5v4
  22. P1 17:02Shot by Sissons, saved by DeSmith5v4
  23. P1 17:04Shot by Sissons, saved by DeSmith5v4
  24. P1 19:10Shot by Myers, saved by DeSmith
  25. P1 19:34Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Saros
  26. P1 19:58Goal by Ekholm (Forsberg, Duchene)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg · PIT Boyle, Letang, Dumoulin, Blueger, Simon

  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:20Sissons: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro, Jeannot · PIT Boyle, Dumoulin, Blueger, Marino, Simon

  30. P2 0:43Malkin: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Granlund, Carrier, Jeannot · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel

  31. P2 1:04Shot by Matheson, saved by Saros4v4
  32. P2 1:24Shot by Crosby, saved by Saros4v4
  33. P2 1:34Shot by Forsberg, saved by DeSmith4v4
  34. P2 2:03Shot by Ekholm, saved by DeSmith4v4
  35. P2 2:08Shot by Josi, saved by DeSmith4v4
  36. P2 5:00Shot by Simon, saved by Saros
  37. P2 5:26Shot by Granlund, saved by DeSmith
  38. P2 5:38Shot by Letang, saved by Saros
  39. P2 5:49Kunin: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Josi, Granlund, Kunin, Fabbro, Tolvanen · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rust, Friedman, Heinen

  40. P2 7:16Shot by Guentzel, saved by Saros4v5
  41. P2 10:55Shot by Matheson, saved by Saros
  42. P2 13:06Shot by Harpur, saved by DeSmith
  43. P2 13:21Shot by Harpur, saved by DeSmith
  44. P2 13:56Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Saros
  45. P2 14:00Goal by Guentzel (Letang, Crosby)+24 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Granlund, Carrier, Kunin, Tolvanen · PIT Crosby, Letang, Matheson, Guentzel, Rodrigues

  46. P2 15:16Shot by Blueger, saved by Saros
  47. P2 15:40Goal by Jeannot (Josi, Sissons)+24 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro, Jeannot · PIT Boyle, Blueger, Ruhwedel, Friedman, Simon

  48. P2 16:38Shot by Carrier, saved by DeSmith
  49. P2 17:03Goal by Tolvanen (Josi)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Granlund, Carrier, Tolvanen · PIT Crosby, Letang, Matheson, Guentzel, Rodrigues

  50. P2 18:22Carrier: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Sissons, Trenin, Carrier, Jeannot · PIT Crosby, Ruhwedel, Guentzel, Friedman, Rodrigues

  51. P2 18:32Shot by Jeannot, saved by DeSmith4v5
  52. P2 19:25Guentzel: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Granlund, Harpur, Trenin · PIT Malkin, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Kapanen

  53. P2 19:25Ekholm: Slashing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: NSH Ekholm, Granlund, Harpur, Trenin · PIT Malkin, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Kapanen

  54. P2 19:38Shot by Rust, saved by Saros4v5
  55. P2 19:59Shot by Letang, saved by Saros4v5
  56. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 2:03Simon: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg, Carrier · PIT Boyle, Blueger, Ruhwedel, Friedman, Simon

  59. P3 2:10Shot by Josi, saved by DeSmith5v4
  60. P3 3:14Shot by Tolvanen, saved by DeSmith5v4
  61. P3 4:14Shot by Crosby, saved by Saros
  62. P3 6:02Letang: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Granlund, Harpur, Myers, Kunin, Jeannot · PIT Malkin, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Heinen

  63. P3 7:56Shot by Ekholm, saved by DeSmith5v4
  64. P3 8:32Shot by Malkin, saved by Saros
  65. P3 8:42Shot by Guentzel, saved by Saros
  66. P3 9:15Shot by Kapanen, saved by Saros
  67. P3 9:37Shot by Letang, saved by Saros
  68. P3 10:02Shot by Heinen, saved by Saros
  69. P3 11:43Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Saros
  70. P3 11:51Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Saros
  71. P3 11:53Shot by Guentzel, saved by Saros
  72. P3 14:18Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Saros
  73. P3 15:39Rust: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro, Jeannot · PIT Malkin, Rust, Ruhwedel, Friedman, Heinen

  74. P3 18:10Goal by Trenin (Sissons, Josi)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro, Jeannot · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Rodrigues

  75. P3 18:42Shot by Blueger, saved by Saros
  76. P3 18:48Shot by Matheson, saved by Saros
  77. P3 19:33Shot by Kapanen, saved by Saros
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final