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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 17, 2022·Rogers Place, Edmonton

Buffalo Sabres 1, Edmonton Oilers 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 88% of the time.

EDM winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:17Shot by Foegele, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 2:44Shot by Olofsson, saved by Smith
  4. P1 5:37Shot by Dahlin, saved by Smith
  5. P1 7:10Shot by Thompson, saved by Smith
  6. P1 7:21Goal by Yamamoto (McDavid, Ceci)+22 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Kane, Ceci, Nurse, McDavid, Yamamoto · BUF Skinner, Hinostroza, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin

  7. P1 7:49Shot by Nurse, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 8:19Shot by Skinner, saved by Smith
  9. P1 8:58Shot by Shore, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 11:32Shot by Hyman, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 11:59Shot by Thompson, saved by Smith
  12. P1 13:01Shot by Bouchard, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 13:10Goal by McDavid (Yamamoto, Kane)+12 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Russell, Kane, Barrie, McDavid, Yamamoto · BUF Pysyk, Hinostroza, Samuelsson, Krebs, Cozens

  14. P1 13:35Shot by Krebs, saved by Smith
  15. P1 15:23Shot by Nurse, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 16:46Shot by Kane, saved by Anderson
  17. P1 16:51Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Smith
  18. P1 17:23Shot by Russell, saved by Anderson
  19. P1 19:07Shot by Bouchard, saved by Anderson
  20. P1 19:11Shot by Kane, saved by Anderson
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:35Shot by Bouchard, saved by Anderson
  24. P2 1:00Shot by Girgensons, saved by Smith
  25. P2 1:40Shot by McDavid, saved by Anderson
  26. P2 1:49Shot by Dahlin, saved by Smith
  27. P2 4:28Dahlin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Russell, Kane, Barrie, Archibald, McDavid · BUF Okposo, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Krebs, Cozens

  28. P2 5:09Shot by Barrie, saved by Anderson5v4
  29. P2 5:18Shot by Tuch, saved by Smith5v4
  30. P2 5:33Shot by Asplund, saved by Smith5v4
  31. P2 8:40Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 8:42Goal by Draisaitl (Hyman)+7 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Hyman, Ceci, Nurse, Draisaitl, Puljujarvi · BUF Skinner, Miller, Tuch, Thompson, Bryson

  33. P2 9:39Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Smith
  34. P2 9:44Shot by Dahlin, saved by Smith
  35. P2 10:40Shot by Tuch, saved by Smith
  36. P2 11:00Shot by Girgensons, saved by Smith
  37. P2 13:10Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 13:42Goal by Nurse (Hyman, Ceci)+3 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Hyman, Ceci, Nurse, Draisaitl, Puljujarvi · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin

  39. P2 14:18Shot by Archibald, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 14:21Shot by Barrie, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 14:23Shot by Hyman, saved by Anderson
  42. P2 14:33Shot by Kassian, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 15:15Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Smith
  44. P2 15:25Shot by Olofsson, saved by Smith
  45. P2 15:33Shot by Foegele, saved by Anderson
  46. P2 17:51Shot by Bryson, saved by Smith
  47. P2 19:39Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Anderson
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 2:38Shot by Thompson, saved by Smith
  51. P3 3:21Goal by Olofsson (Asplund, Miller)+2 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Hyman, Ceci, Shore, Nurse, Ryan · BUF Miller, Olofsson, Asplund, Mittelstadt, Bryson

  52. P3 4:17Shot by Olofsson, saved by Smith
  53. P3 4:42Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Smith
  54. P3 5:27Ceci: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Hyman, Ceci, Nurse, Draisaitl, Puljujarvi · BUF Skinner, Miller, Hinostroza, Samuelsson, Cozens

  55. P3 5:58Goal by Shore (Barrie)4v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Russell, Barrie, Shore, McLeod · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Krebs

  56. P3 7:25Shot by Nurse, saved by Anderson4v5
  57. P3 8:21Shot by McDavid, saved by Anderson
  58. P3 8:29Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Smith
  59. P3 10:53Shot by Okposo, saved by Smith
  60. P3 12:55Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Smith
  61. P3 12:59Shot by Miller, saved by Smith
  62. P3 13:33Shot by Okposo, saved by Smith
  63. P3 13:59Shot by McDavid, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 14:19Hinostroza: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: EDM Keith, Kane, McDavid, Yamamoto, Bouchard · BUF Skinner, Pysyk, Hinostroza, Samuelsson, Cozens

  65. P3 15:36Goal by Barrie (Foegele, McLeod)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Barrie, Hyman, Foegele, McLeod, Bouchard · BUF Pysyk, Asplund, Bryson, Cozens

  66. P3 15:51Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Anderson5v4
  67. P3 16:01Shot by Barrie, saved by Anderson5v4
  68. P3 17:38Shot by Bouchard, saved by Anderson
  69. P3 17:45Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Smith
  70. P3 18:35Shot by Shore, saved by Anderson
  71. P3 18:38Shot by Shore, saved by Anderson
  72. P3 19:20Shot by Nurse, saved by Anderson
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final