Sun, Mar 20, 2022·United Center, Chicago
Winnipeg Jets 6, Chicago Blackhawks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 110 | 413 | 19 | 632 |
| CHI | 07 | 217 | 212 | 436 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:14WPGNikolaj EhlersAssists: Kyle Connor, Nate Schmidt · Wrap-around, 0.03 xG1–0
- P2 1:13CHIJonathan ToewsAssists: Taylor Raddysh, Dominik Kubalik · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–1
- P2 1:36CHIDylan StromeAssists: Patrick Kane, Alex DeBrincat · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–2
- P2 2:15WPGJansen HarkinsAssists: Dylan DeMelo, Andrew Copp · Tip-in, 0.06 xG2–2
- P2 11:13WPGJansen HarkinsAssists: Andrew Copp, Evgeny Svechnikov · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–2
- P2 17:36WPGKyle ConnorPPAssists: Mark Scheifele, Blake Wheeler · Slap, 0.09 xG4–2
- P2 19:36WPGJosh MorrisseyGWGAssists: Mark Scheifele, Kyle Connor · Slap, 0.11 xG5–2
- P3 3:25CHITaylor RaddyshPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Dylan Strome · Snap, 0.26 xG5–3
- P3 13:00CHIPhilipp KurashevAssists: Sam Lafferty, Seth Jones · Wrist, 0.04 xG5–4
- P3 18:51WPGBlake WheelerENAssists: Kyle Connor, Andrew Copp · Wrist, 0.78 xG6–4
Penalties (5)
- P2 16:49CHISam Lafferty: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 2:38WPGJeff Malott: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 3:35CHICaleb Jones: Holding2 min
- P3 5:02WPGPierre-Luc Dubois: Roughing2 min
- P3 5:02CHIBoris Katchouk: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Strome won the faceoff against Scheifele
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestCopp – Harkins – Svechnikov10:28
xG 0.66–0.32 (67%)attempts 16–5goals 2–1
- Wheeler – Stastny – Scheifele15:27
xG 1.04–0.79 (57%)attempts 18–10goals 0–1
- Harkins – Svechnikov – Dubois2:33
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Copp – Ehlers – Connor3:34
xG 0.04–0.22 (14%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- DeMelo – Morrissey18:19
xG 0.67–0.79 (46%)attempts 22–9goals 2–0
- Schmidt – Morrissey2:06
xG 0.01–0.16 (4%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Schmidt – Stanley14:19
xG 0.58–0.74 (44%)attempts 10–19goals 0–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Strome – DeBrincat17:07
xG 0.95–0.63 (60%)attempts 22–15goals 1–2
- Toews – Kubalik – Raddysh12:05
xG 1.04–0.73 (59%)attempts 13–14goals 1–1
- Carpenter – Entwistle – Kurashev8:07
xG 0.26–0.08 (76%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
- Lafferty – Kurashev – Dach2:10
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Stillman7:11
xG 0.92–0.05 (95%)attempts 12–4goals 1–0
- de Haan – Jones14:03
xG 0.66–0.39 (63%)attempts 14–9goals 0–1
- de Haan – Jones3:02
xG 0.07–0.01 (92%)attempts 3–1goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).