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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 23, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Buffalo Sabres 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 61% of the time.

BUF winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:19Shot by Krebs, saved by DeSmith
  3. P1 2:07Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by DeSmith
  4. P1 4:01Shot by Rakell, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 6:50Shot by Thompson, saved by DeSmith
  6. P1 10:49Shot by Heinen, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 11:00Shot by Thompson, saved by DeSmith
  8. P1 11:01Ruhwedel: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Bryson, Samuelsson · PIT Malkin, Rust, Ruhwedel, Pettersson, Heinen

  9. P1 11:20Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Anderson5v4
  10. P1 12:54Shot by Dahlin, saved by DeSmith5v4
  11. P1 14:27Kapanen: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Pysyk, Miller, Hinostroza, Krebs, Cozens · PIT Carter, Rakell, Ruhwedel, Kapanen, Pettersson

  12. P1 15:02Shot by Marino, saved by Anderson5v4
  13. P1 15:41Shot by Rust, saved by Anderson5v4
  14. P1 15:52Shot by Cozens, saved by DeSmith5v4
  15. P1 16:16Shot by Cozens, saved by DeSmith5v4
  16. P1 16:39Shot by Dahlin, saved by DeSmith
  17. P1 16:56Shot by Rust, saved by Anderson
  18. P1 17:15Goal by Thompson (Samuelsson)+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Olofsson, Thompson, Bryson, Samuelsson · PIT Malkin, Rust, Matheson, Pettersson, Heinen

  19. P1 17:37Shot by Crosby, saved by Anderson
  20. P1 18:16Shot by Marino, saved by Anderson
  21. P1 18:36Shot by Hinostroza, saved by DeSmith
  22. P1 18:43Krebs: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Miller, Hinostroza, Bryson, Krebs, Cozens · PIT Malkin, Rust, Matheson, Heinen, Marino

  23. P1 19:06Shot by Okposo, saved by DeSmith4v5
  24. P1 19:55Shot by Guentzel, saved by Anderson4v5
  25. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:26Goal by Crosby (Rust, Guentzel)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jokiharju, Samuelsson · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel

  28. P2 2:24Shot by Pettersson, saved by Anderson
  29. P2 3:02Shot by Tuch, saved by DeSmith
  30. P2 3:05Shot by Skinner, saved by DeSmith
  31. P2 3:09Shot by Tuch, saved by DeSmith
  32. P2 4:48Shot by Olofsson, saved by DeSmith
  33. P2 5:06Shot by Guentzel, saved by Anderson
  34. P2 5:48Shot by Girgensons, saved by DeSmith
  35. P2 6:06Shot by Okposo, saved by DeSmith
  36. P2 7:27Shot by Rust, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 7:28Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by DeSmith
  38. P2 7:56Shot by Rakell, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 8:28Shot by Guentzel, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 9:05Shot by Thompson, saved by DeSmith
  41. P2 11:13Shot by Samuelsson, saved by DeSmith
  42. P2 15:56Goal by Girgensons (Okposo)+24 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Eakin, Girgensons, Bryson, Samuelsson · PIT Malkin, Rust, Matheson, Heinen, Marino

  43. P2 16:10Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Anderson
  44. P2 18:46Goal by Malkin (Rust)+25 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hinostroza, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Krebs, Cozens · PIT Malkin, Rust, Matheson, Heinen, Marino

  45. P2 18:55Guentzel: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin · PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rakell, Guentzel

  46. P2 19:12Shot by Dahlin, saved by DeSmith5v4
  47. P2 19:58Shot by Dahlin, saved by DeSmith5v4
  48. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 1:01Goal by Thompson (Tuch, Skinner)+26 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Bryson, Samuelsson · PIT Boyle, Crosby, Ruhwedel, Guentzel, Pettersson

  51. P3 2:29Shot by Heinen, saved by Anderson
  52. P3 3:21Shot by Carter, saved by Anderson
  53. P3 4:52Shot by Okposo, saved by DeSmith
  54. P3 6:05Shot by Olofsson, saved by DeSmith
  55. P3 6:06Shot by Olofsson, saved by DeSmith
  56. P3 6:28Shot by Okposo, saved by DeSmith
  57. P3 7:54Shot by Rust, saved by Anderson
  58. P3 9:11Shot by Guentzel, saved by Anderson
  59. P3 10:42Shot by Bryson, saved by DeSmith
  60. P3 11:44Shot by Heinen, saved by Anderson
  61. P3 13:51Hinostroza: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hinostroza, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Krebs, Cozens · PIT Malkin, Rust, Matheson, Heinen, Marino

  62. P3 14:27Shot by Letang, saved by Anderson4v5
  63. P3 15:04Goal by Letang (Malkin, Crosby)4v5+34 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Eakin, Jokiharju, Samuelsson · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel

  64. P3 16:01Shot by Skinner, saved by DeSmith
  65. P3 17:26Shot by Samuelsson, saved by DeSmith
  66. P3 18:45Shot by Olofsson, saved by DeSmith
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. OT 0:00Period start
  69. OT 1:42Shot by Matheson, saved by Anderson3v3
  70. OT 3:30Shot by Crosby, saved by Anderson3v3
  71. OT 4:47Shot by Jokiharju, saved by DeSmith3v3
  72. OT 5:00Period endother
  73. SO Period start
  74. SO Goal by Thompson, unassistedother
  75. SO Shot by Rust, saved by Andersonother
  76. SO Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by DeSmithother
  77. SO Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersonother
  78. SO Goal by Tuch, unassistedother
  79. SO Period endother
  80. SO Final