Wed, Mar 23, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Buffalo Sabres 4 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 61% of the time.
51%
10%
9%
30%
BUF winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25:30 | 0.25 | 35.8% | +34.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:59 | 0.01 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 21:12 | 0.52 | 37.4% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:08 | 0.01 | 21.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 20:53 | 0.32 | 38.5% | +56.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 20:49 | 0.25 | 37.3% | +47.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 20:29 | 0.07 | 43.7% | +59.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:35 | 0.09 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:06 | 0.03 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:23 | 0.13 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:26 | 0.15 | 92.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:59 | 0.00 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:31 | 0.06 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:25 | 0.14 | 69.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:10 | 0.15 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:15 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:07 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:03 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 2.75 | −0.2 | 65:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 28:06 | 0.19 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:34 | 0.12 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:17 | 0.34 | 73.4% | +26.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 19:46 | 0.08 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:43 | 0.21 | 63.8% | +24.3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 18:43 | 0.53 | 76.5% | +48.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 18:42 | 0.01 | 60.6% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:33 | 0.22 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:00 | 0.17 | 74.5% | +26.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:27 | 0.00 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:11 | 0.04 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:59 | 0.27 | 71.7% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:42 | 0.16 | 19.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 14:20 | 0.39 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:39 | 0.00 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:31 | 0.00 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:58 | 0.02 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:53 | 0.01 | 25.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 2.18 | −0.8 | 65:00 |