Tue, Mar 22, 2022·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Seattle Kraken 4, Arizona Coyotes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 015 | 313 | 111 | 439 |
| ARI | 07 | 214 | 05 | 226 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 8:11ARINick SchmaltzPPAssists: Clayton Keller, Shayne Gostisbehere · Snap, 0.14 xG0–1
- P2 8:29SEACarson SoucyAssists: Jordan Eberle, Alexander Wennberg · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–1
- P2 9:13ARINick RitchieAssists: Loui Eriksson · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–2
- P2 13:39SEADaniel SprongPPAssists: Jaden Schwartz, Vince Dunn · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–2
- P2 17:18SEACarson SoucyGWGAssists: Ryan Donato, Morgan Geekie · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–2
- P3 12:38SEAMorgan GeekieAssists: Jared McCann, Kole Lind · Wrist, 0.11 xG4–2
Penalties (6)
- P1 12:08ARITravis Boyd: Holding2 min
- P1 18:46SEAVince Dunn: Tripping2 min
- P2 6:25SEAHaydn Fleury: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 11:45ARIKyle Capobianco: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 15:11ARIMatias Maccelli: Hooking2 min
- P2 18:58SEACarson Soucy: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Wennberg won the faceoff against Fischer
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestGourde – Donato – Kuhlman8:19
xG 0.39–0.06 (86%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- McCann – Lind – Geekie8:03
xG 0.52–0.30 (63%)attempts 12–2goals 1–1
- Sheahan – Donskoi – Sprong6:29
xG 0.35–0.22 (62%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Eberle – Schwartz – Wennberg11:07
xG 0.28–0.17 (62%)attempts 8–8goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestFleury – Borgen6:27
xG 0.50–0.25 (67%)attempts 8–3goals 0–1
- Soucy – Borgen2:44
xG 0.23–0.07 (76%)attempts 3–3goals 1–0
- Larsson – Oleksiak4:18
xG 0.09–0.04 (70%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Ritchie – Hayton6:05
xG 0.22–0.11 (67%)attempts 4–3goals 1–0
- Kessel – Boyd – Carcone9:19
xG 0.66–0.58 (53%)attempts 9–19goals 0–0
- Ritchie – Hayton – Maccelli2:33
xG 0.00–0.10 (0%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Galchenyuk – Schmaltz – Keller11:16
xG 0.22–0.39 (36%)attempts 5–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Capobianco – Kolyachonok9:51
xG 0.29–0.48 (37%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
- Stralman – Mayo2:43
xG 0.00–0.24 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–1
- Gostisbehere – Mayo12:57
xG 0.35–0.63 (36%)attempts 7–17goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).