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Ice Lab

Fri, Apr 1, 2022·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Ottawa Senators 5, Detroit Red Wings 2

Away

Ottawa Senators

5

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 51% of the time.

DET winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:22Shot by Hamonic, saved by Nedeljkovic
  3. P1 0:26Shot by Joseph, saved by Nedeljkovic
  4. P1 3:32Shot by Suter, saved by Sogaard
  5. P1 3:34Formenton: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Staal, Erne, Hronek, Suter, Raymond · OTT Brown, Formenton, Brannstrom, Stützle, Zub

  6. P1 4:29Shot by Seider, saved by Sogaard5v4
  7. P1 5:07Goal by Watson (Joseph)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: DET Sundqvist, Hronek, Rasmussen, Zadina, Hirose · OTT Hamonic, Watson, Joseph, Zub

  8. P1 6:35Shot by Erne, saved by Sogaard
  9. P1 9:38Shot by Zadina, saved by Sogaard
  10. P1 11:31Shot by Joseph, saved by Nedeljkovic
  11. P1 12:16Shot by Holden, saved by Nedeljkovic
  12. P1 13:24Shot by Gambrell, saved by Nedeljkovic
  13. P1 13:33Shot by Zub, saved by Nedeljkovic
  14. P1 13:54Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Nedeljkovic
  15. P1 13:56Shot by Watson, saved by Nedeljkovic
  16. P1 14:14Shot by Norris, saved by Nedeljkovic
  17. P1 15:23Shot by Suter, saved by Sogaard
  18. P1 17:53Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Nedeljkovic
  19. P1 18:06Shot by Suter, saved by Sogaard
  20. P1 18:23Shot by Norris, saved by Nedeljkovic
  21. P1 19:37Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Nedeljkovic
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:45Shot by Erne, saved by Sogaard
  25. P2 1:27Shot by Zub, saved by Nedeljkovic
  26. P2 2:15Shot by Walman, saved by Sogaard
  27. P2 2:18Goal by Raymond (Walman)+18 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Larkin, Walman, Lindstrom, Raymond · OTT Brown, Formenton, Brannstrom, Stützle, Zub

  28. P2 2:58Shot by Joseph, saved by Nedeljkovic
  29. P2 3:36Shot by Zub, saved by Nedeljkovic
  30. P2 4:25Shot by Seider, saved by Sogaard
  31. P2 5:31Shot by Lindstrom, saved by Sogaard
  32. P2 6:22Shot by Zub, saved by Nedeljkovic
  33. P2 6:32Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Nedeljkovic
  34. P2 8:00Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Nedeljkovic
  35. P2 8:06Shot by Formenton, saved by Nedeljkovic
  36. P2 8:43Shot by Raymond, saved by Sogaard
  37. P2 10:56Shot by Walman, saved by Sogaard
  38. P2 11:17Rasmussen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Staal, Rasmussen, Lindstrom, Zadina, Hirose · OTT Del Zotto, Hamonic, Brown, Formenton, Stützle

  39. P2 11:17Hamonic: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Staal, Rasmussen, Lindstrom, Zadina, Hirose · OTT Del Zotto, Hamonic, Brown, Formenton, Stützle

  40. P2 11:17Stützle: Cross checking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: DET Staal, Rasmussen, Lindstrom, Zadina, Hirose · OTT Del Zotto, Hamonic, Brown, Formenton, Stützle

  41. P2 12:49Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Sogaard5v4
  42. P2 13:56Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Nedeljkovic
  43. P2 14:36Rasmussen: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Gagner, Walman, Rasmussen, Lindstrom, Zadina · OTT Del Zotto, Ennis, White, Batherson, Zub

  44. P2 15:36Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Nedeljkovic4v5
  45. P2 17:55Shot by Raymond, saved by Sogaard
  46. P2 17:57Shot by Raymond, saved by Sogaard
  47. P2 18:30Shot by Suter, saved by Sogaard
  48. P2 18:33Zub: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Staal, Sundqvist, Erne, Suter, Seider · OTT Norris, Brannstrom, Batherson, Tkachuk, Zub

  49. P2 19:41Shot by Seider, saved by Sogaard5v4
  50. P2 19:52Joseph: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Larkin, Hirose, Seider, Raymond · OTT Hamonic, Watson, Joseph, Brannstrom

  51. P2 19:55Shot by Vrana, saved by Sogaard5v3
  52. P2 0:00Period end5v3
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:49Raymond: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Vrana, Larkin, Seider, Raymond · OTT Hamonic, Brown, Brannstrom, Zub

  55. P3 1:21Shot by Walman, saved by Sogaard4v4
  56. P3 2:25Goal by Norris (Brannstrom, Batherson)4v5+28 pts WP

    On ice: DET Sundqvist, DeKeyser, Suter, Seider · OTT Norris, Brannstrom, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle

  57. P3 3:36Goal by Joseph (Ennis, White)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Staal, Gagner, Vrana, Lindstrom, Veleno · OTT Holden, Ennis, White, Joseph, Zaitsev

  58. P3 5:26Shot by White, saved by Nedeljkovic
  59. P3 5:52Shot by White, saved by Nedeljkovic
  60. P3 7:15Shot by Seider, saved by Sogaard
  61. P3 10:07Holden: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Gagner, Vrana, Larkin, Walman, Lindstrom, Veleno · OTT Holden, Brown, Zaitsev, Formenton, Stützle

  62. P3 10:48Shot by Raymond, saved by Sogaard5v4
  63. P3 11:39Shot by Gambrell, saved by Nedeljkovic5v4
  64. P3 11:48Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Sogaard5v4
  65. P3 12:35Shot by Erne, saved by Sogaard
  66. P3 13:19Goal by Joseph (Stützle)+2 pts WP

    On ice: DET Staal, Sundqvist, Bertuzzi, Suter, Seider · OTT Holden, White, Joseph, Zaitsev, Stützle

  67. P3 13:59Goal by Raymond (Hronek, Larkin)6v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: DET Erne, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Hronek, Seider, Raymond · OTT Ennis, White, Joseph, Brannstrom, Zub

  68. P3 15:07Shot by Larkin, saved by Sogaard
  69. P3 15:32Shot by Erne, saved by Sogaard6v5
  70. P3 15:39Shot by Larkin, saved by Sogaard6v5
  71. P3 16:05Goal by Joseph, unassisted6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: DET Erne, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Hronek, Seider, Raymond · OTT Holden, Hamonic, Joseph, Norris, Tkachuk

  72. P3 16:45Shot by Joseph, saved by Nedeljkovic
  73. P3 16:52Shot by Gambrell, saved by Nedeljkovic
  74. P3 18:30Shot by Erne, saved by Sogaard
  75. P3 18:45Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Nedeljkovic
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final