Fri, Apr 1, 2022·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Anaheim Ducks 5, Arizona Coyotes 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 315 | 110 | 112 | 537 |
| ARI | 07 | 08 | 07 | 022 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:38ANAIsac LundeströmGWGAssists: Troy Terry, Andrej Sustr · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–0
- P1 7:41ANAGerry MayhewAssists: Maxime Comtois, Adam Henrique · Slap, 0.04 xG2–0
- P1 9:42ANATrevor ZegrasAssists: Troy Terry, Cam Fowler · Wrap-around, 0.07 xG3–0
- P2 5:44ANACam FowlerAssists: Isac Lundeström, Jamie Drysdale · Wrist, 0.09 xG4–0
- P3 7:25ANAIsac LundeströmAssists: Zachary Aston-Reese, Derek Grant · Backhand, 0.16 xG5–0
Penalties (13)
- P1 0:00ARINick Ritchie: Roughing2 min
- P1 0:00ANADominik Simon: Roughing2 min
- P2 4:40ARIPhil Kessel: Slashing2 min
- P2 4:58ANASonny Milano: High sticking2 min
- P2 5:48ARIKyle Capobianco: High sticking2 min
- P3 11:45ANASam Carrick: Roughing2 min
- P3 11:45ARIMichael Carcone: Fighting5 min
- P3 11:45ANASam Carrick: Fighting5 min
- P3 14:23ARIJay Beagle: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 14:23ARIJay Beagle: Fighting5 min
- P3 14:23ANATroy Terry: Roughing2 min
- P3 14:23ARIJay Beagle: Cross checking2 min
- P3 14:23ARIPhil Kessel: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Beagle won the faceoff against Lundeström
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestMilano – Terry – Zegras10:55
xG 0.73–0.08 (90%)attempts 12–5goals 1–0
- Henrique – Mayhew – Comtois8:50
xG 0.30–0.26 (53%)attempts 8–14goals 1–0
- Grant – Aston-Reese – Lundeström9:49
xG 0.49–0.49 (50%)attempts 12–15goals 1–0
- Carrick – Simon – Steel8:01
xG 0.13–0.29 (31%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFowler – Drysdale14:25
xG 1.10–0.46 (70%)attempts 25–18goals 3–0
- Sustr – Mahura12:41
xG 0.25–0.43 (37%)attempts 9–18goals 1–0
- Shattenkirk – Vaakanainen15:47
xG 0.21–0.44 (32%)attempts 7–13goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestGalchenyuk – Carcone – Maccelli9:31
xG 0.81–0.29 (73%)attempts 20–8goals 0–0
- Eriksson – Beagle – Fasching9:23
xG 0.09–0.24 (27%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
- Ritchie – Schmaltz – Hayton8:41
xG 0.18–0.39 (31%)attempts 7–9goals 0–1
- Kessel – Boyd – Jenik6:44
xG 0.11–0.38 (22%)attempts 5–8goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestCapobianco – Kolyachonok14:15
xG 0.79–0.23 (77%)attempts 21–9goals 0–0
- Gostisbehere – Mayo13:44
xG 0.19–0.48 (29%)attempts 10–15goals 0–0
- Stralman – Dineen12:14
xG 0.37–0.72 (34%)attempts 18–16goals 0–3
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).