Sun, Apr 3, 2022·United Center, Chicago
Arizona Coyotes 3, Chicago Blackhawks 2 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 06 | 215 | 08 | 16 | 335 |
| CHI | 111 | 05 | 113 | 02 | 231 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:15CHIDylan StromeAssists: Alex DeBrincat · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–1
- P2 6:25ARIMichael CarconeAssists: Anton Stralman · Tip-in, 0.14 xG1–1
- P2 10:01ARITravis BoydAssists: Shayne Gostisbehere, Dysin Mayo · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–1
- P3 5:33CHIPatrick KanePPAssists: Seth Jones, Alex DeBrincat · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–2
- OT 4:45ARIShayne GostisbeherePPGWGAssists: Nick Schmaltz, Phil Kessel · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 12:14ARIKyle Capobianco: Slashing2 min
- P2 11:08ARIAndrew Ladd: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:45CHIKirby Dach: Hooking2 min
- P3 4:47ARIKyle Capobianco: Holding the stick2 min · PPG
- OT 4:12CHIPatrick Kane: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Beagle
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestKessel – Carcone – Hayton10:48
xG 0.56–0.40 (59%)attempts 11–9goals 1–0
- Boyd – Schmaltz – Maccelli10:16
xG 0.38–0.26 (59%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Ladd – Galchenyuk – Jenik10:10
xG 0.66–0.59 (53%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
- Eriksson – Beagle – Fasching10:57
xG 0.15–0.34 (31%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGostisbehere – Mayo15:36
xG 0.79–0.51 (61%)attempts 14–14goals 0–1
- Capobianco – Kolyachonok12:53
xG 0.61–0.35 (64%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Stralman – Dineen16:40
xG 0.52–0.67 (44%)attempts 15–21goals 1–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Strome – DeBrincat16:37
xG 0.98–0.32 (75%)attempts 24–9goals 1–1
- Johnson – Raddysh – Dach5:54
xG 0.09–0.15 (39%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Johnson – Kubalik – Raddysh4:04
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Toews – Lafferty – Dach6:29
xG 0.08–0.32 (20%)attempts 5–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGustafsson – Jones8:05
xG 0.49–0.15 (76%)attempts 13–3goals 0–0
- de Haan – McCabe15:29
xG 0.66–0.52 (56%)attempts 16–11goals 1–1
- Jones – Stillman6:37
xG 0.31–0.37 (46%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).