Mon, Apr 4, 2022·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Arizona Coyotes 1, St. Louis Blues 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 75% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 07 | 010 | 15 | 122 |
| STL | 010 | 414 | 15 | 529 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 2:17STLIvan BarbashevAssists: Calle Rosen, David Perron · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–1
- P2 3:34STLVladimir TarasenkoGWGAssists: Robert Thomas, Pavel Buchnevich · Snap, 0.08 xG0–2
- P2 6:33STLBrayden SchennPPAssists: David Perron, Nick Leddy · Snap, 0.13 xG0–3
- P2 14:39STLPavel BuchnevichSHAssists: Ryan O'Reilly · Snap, 0.19 xG0–4
- P3 3:09ARINick SchmaltzAssists: Cam Dineen, Nick Ritchie · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–4
- P3 13:09STLVladimir TarasenkoAssists: Robert Thomas, Pavel Buchnevich · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–5
Penalties (4)
- P1 2:01ARIKyle Capobianco: Holding2 min
- P1 19:00STLBrayden Schenn: Cross checking2 min
- P2 5:47ARIBarrett Hayton: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 14:12STLRobert Thomas: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Beagle won the faceoff against Schenn
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestBoyd – Ritchie – Schmaltz9:12
xG 0.42–0.23 (65%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
- Galchenyuk – Jenik – Maccelli5:25
xG 0.21–0.07 (74%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Galchenyuk – Fasching – Jenik2:54
xG 0.01–0.05 (18%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Eriksson – Beagle – Ritchie2:06
xG 0.00–0.05 (6%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Capobianco – Kolyachonok15:45
xG 0.43–0.55 (44%)attempts 10–13goals 0–0
- Stralman – Dineen16:05
xG 0.57–0.74 (43%)attempts 10–15goals 1–0
- Gostisbehere – Mayo14:34
xG 0.48–0.83 (37%)attempts 13–16goals 0–1
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestTarasenko – Buchnevich – Thomas10:31
xG 0.68–0.15 (82%)attempts 11–5goals 2–0
- Schenn – Barbashev – Kyrou10:00
xG 0.47–0.13 (78%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Perron – O'Reilly – Saad9:55
xG 0.61–0.41 (60%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- MacEachern – Walker – Toropchenko10:28
xG 0.44–0.33 (57%)attempts 9–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestScandella – Parayko16:06
xG 0.95–0.24 (80%)attempts 14–7goals 0–0
- Bortuzzo – Rosen12:15
xG 0.46–0.25 (65%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Leddy – Faulk17:43
xG 0.69–0.80 (46%)attempts 13–18goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 75% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).