Tue, Apr 5, 2022·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Boston Bruins 3, Detroit Red Wings 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 218 | 015 | 117 | 350 |
| DET | 112 | 212 | 25 | 529 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:43BOSErik HaulaAssists: Taylor Hall, Tomas Nosek · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–0
- P1 14:17BOSBrandon CarloSHAssists: Derek Forbort, Patrice Bergeron · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–0
- P1 19:20DETDylan LarkinAssists: Moritz Seider, Lucas Raymond · Snap, 0.06 xG2–1
- P2 5:46DETMichael RasmussenAssists: Adam Erne, Danny DeKeyser · Wrist, 0.20 xG2–2
- P2 11:32DETFilip ZadinaAssists: Jakub Vrana, Pius Suter · Slap, 0.08 xG2–3
- P3 4:08DETJakub VranaPPGWGAssists: Filip Hronek, Jake Walman · Snap, 0.09 xG2–4
- P3 17:24BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: Charlie McAvoy, Taylor Hall · Wrist, 0.20 xG3–4
- P3 19:13DETSam GagnerENAssists: Alex Nedeljkovic · Wrist, 0.64 xG3–5
Penalties (16)
- P1 13:44BOSMarc McLaughlin: High sticking2 min
- P1 17:18BOSCharlie McAvoy: Roughing2 min
- P2 1:22DETPius Suter: Tripping2 min
- P2 7:48DETJake Walman: Holding2 min
- P2 19:07BOSNick Foligno: Hooking2 min
- P3 3:27BOSCharlie McAvoy: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 8:46DETDanny DeKeyser: Interference2 min
- P3 11:58DETDanny DeKeyser: Hooking2 min
- P3 12:46BOSTaylor Hall: Hooking2 min
- P3 16:45BOSBrad Marchand: Slashing2 min
- P3 16:45DETDylan Larkin: Slashing2 min
- P3 0:00BOSAnton Blidh: Slashing2 min
- P3 0:00BOSAnton Blidh: Misconduct10 min
- P3 0:00BOSDerek Forbort: Misconduct10 min
- P3 0:00DETMichael Rasmussen: Slashing2 min
- P3 0:00DETMichael Rasmussen: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Rasmussen
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestHaula – Hall – Nosek6:29
xG 0.57–0.11 (84%)attempts 12–4goals 1–0
- Foligno – Smith – Coyle4:15
xG 0.40–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – DeBrusk8:50
xG 0.42–0.36 (54%)attempts 11–8goals 0–1
- Smith – Coyle – Hall2:15
xG 0.38–0.37 (51%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – Carlo9:55
xG 0.98–0.13 (88%)attempts 15–4goals 0–0
- Forbort – Carlo4:32
xG 0.44–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 1–0
- Grzelcyk – McAvoy4:57
xG 0.15–0.02 (88%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- bestSundqvist – Erne – Rasmussen7:22
xG 0.41–0.28 (60%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- Gagner – Veleno – Hirose5:08
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Bertuzzi – Larkin – Raymond10:01
xG 0.65–0.75 (46%)attempts 11–14goals 0–1
- Vrana – Suter – Zadina7:05
xG 0.19–0.36 (34%)attempts 4–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestWalman – Lindstrom10:29
xG 0.85–0.45 (66%)attempts 9–13goals 0–1
- DeKeyser – Seider10:35
xG 0.44–0.43 (51%)attempts 10–11goals 1–0
- Staal – Hronek10:03
xG 0.43–0.52 (45%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DET's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DET is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DET − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).