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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 5, 2022·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Colorado Avalanche 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 55% of the time.

PIT winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:00Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Jarry
  3. P1 1:47Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Kuemper
  4. P1 1:56Shot by Makar, saved by Jarry
  5. P1 2:08Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Kuemper
  6. P1 2:45Goal by MacKinnon (Burakovsky, Rantanen)+10 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel · COL Johnson, Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar

  7. P1 3:41Shot by Carter, saved by Kuemper
  8. P1 4:57Shot by Letang, saved by Kuemper
  9. P1 5:09Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jarry
  10. P1 5:21Shot by Manson, saved by Jarry
  11. P1 5:29Shot by Pettersson, saved by Kuemper
  12. P1 5:30Goal by Rust (Pettersson, Guentzel)+11 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rust, Guentzel, Pettersson, Marino · COL Manson, Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen

  13. P1 6:03Shot by Compher, saved by Jarry5v6
  14. P1 6:04Dumoulin: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Carter, Malkin, Letang, Dumoulin, Rakell · COL Johnson, Compher, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Byram, Newhook

  15. P1 6:14Shot by Makar, saved by Jarry4v5
  16. P1 7:57Shot by Newhook, saved by Jarry4v5
  17. P1 8:02Shot by Newhook, saved by Jarry4v5
  18. P1 9:20Byram: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Dumoulin, Blueger, Kapanen, Rodrigues · COL Johnson, Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Byram

  19. P1 9:27Shot by Guentzel, saved by Kuemper5v4
  20. P1 10:24Shot by Crosby, saved by Kuemper5v4
  21. P1 10:30Shot by Rakell, saved by Kuemper5v4
  22. P1 10:49Shot by Carter, saved by Kuemper5v4
  23. P1 11:49Shot by Rust, saved by Kuemper
  24. P1 12:59Shot by Letang, saved by Kuemper
  25. P1 13:29Shot by Kapanen, saved by Kuemper
  26. P1 15:05Shot by Rantanen, saved by Jarry
  27. P1 15:49Shot by Boyle, saved by Kuemper
  28. P1 16:01Shot by Malkin, saved by Kuemper
  29. P1 16:21Shot by Carter, saved by Kuemper
  30. P1 16:51Shot by Johnson, saved by Jarry
  31. P1 17:03Shot by Rust, saved by Kuemper
  32. P1 19:06Shot by Boyle, saved by Kuemper
  33. P1 19:20Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Kuemper
  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 0:24Shot by Guentzel, saved by Kuemper
  37. P2 2:39Shot by Byram, saved by Jarry
  38. P2 2:48Shot by Makar, saved by Jarry
  39. P2 3:16Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Jarry
  40. P2 3:20Shot by Makar, saved by Jarry
  41. P2 4:31Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Jarry
  42. P2 6:43Shot by Blueger, saved by Kuemper
  43. P2 9:52Shot by Newhook, saved by Jarry
  44. P2 9:53Goal by Compher (Newhook, Toews)+21 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Rust, Blueger, Pettersson, Marino, Rodrigues · COL Johnson, Compher, Lehkonen, Toews, Newhook

  45. P2 12:00Goal by MacKinnon (Burakovsky, Rantanen)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Boyle, Letang, Dumoulin, Heinen, Angello · COL Johnson, Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen

  46. P2 13:25Shot by Sturm, saved by Jarry
  47. P2 14:06Rakell: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel · COL Johnson, Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Aube-Kubel, Rantanen, Makar

  48. P2 14:52MacKinnon: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Dumoulin, Rust, Marino, Rodrigues · COL Compher, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar

  49. P2 15:38Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Kuemper4v4
  50. P2 15:40Shot by Kapanen, saved by Kuemper4v4
  51. P2 16:09Shot by Johnson, saved by Jarry5v4
  52. P2 16:30Shot by Guentzel, saved by Kuemper5v4
  53. P2 17:23Shot by Pettersson, saved by Kuemper
  54. P2 17:40Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Kuemper
  55. P2 17:43Goal by Rodrigues, unassisted+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Dumoulin, Blueger, Kapanen, Pettersson, Rodrigues · COL Manson, Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen

  56. P2 19:07Shot by Letang, saved by Kuemper
  57. P2 19:25Shot by Carter, saved by Kuemper
  58. P2 19:28Shot by Pettersson, saved by Kuemper
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 1:01Goal by Manson (Toews, Compher)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Malkin, Rakell, Matheson, Ruhwedel · COL Manson, Compher, Lehkonen, Toews, Newhook

  62. P3 1:54Shot by Rust, saved by Kuemper
  63. P3 3:50Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Kuemper
  64. P3 4:43Shot by Toews, saved by Jarry
  65. P3 5:53Shot by Makar, saved by Jarry
  66. P3 7:30Shot by Guentzel, saved by Kuemper
  67. P3 8:18Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Jarry
  68. P3 8:36Shot by Blueger, saved by Kuemper
  69. P3 8:46Shot by Pettersson, saved by Kuemper
  70. P3 9:17Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Kuemper
  71. P3 9:55Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Jarry
  72. P3 10:46Shot by Rakell, saved by Kuemper
  73. P3 11:17Shot by Makar, saved by Jarry
  74. P3 12:04Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Jarry
  75. P3 12:46Shot by Rust, saved by Kuemper
  76. P3 13:00Shot by Letang, saved by Kuemper
  77. P3 14:01Shot by Kapanen, saved by Kuemper
  78. P3 14:41Shot by Guentzel, saved by Kuemper
  79. P3 15:03Goal by Helm (O'Connor)+1 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Matheson, Guentzel · COL Helm, Manson, Toews, O'Connor, Sturm

  80. P3 15:39Rodrigues: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Blueger, Kapanen, Pettersson, Marino, Rodrigues · COL Johnson, Lehkonen, Rantanen, Byram, Newhook

  81. P3 16:39Shot by Newhook, saved by Jarry4v5
  82. P3 16:52Shot by Byram, saved by Jarry4v5
  83. P3 17:49Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Kuemper
  84. P3 18:00Shot by Guentzel, saved by Kuemper6v5
  85. P3 18:36Goal by Guentzel (Carter, Malkin)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel · COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar, Sturm

  86. P3 18:56Shot by Letang, saved by Kuemper6v5
  87. P3 19:07Goal by Lehkonen (Helm, Toews)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel · COL Helm, Compher, Lehkonen, Toews, Makar

  88. P3 19:29Goal by Matheson (Heinen, Boyle)0 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Boyle, Matheson, Ruhwedel, Heinen, Angello · COL Helm, Manson, MacDermid, Aube-Kubel, Byram

  89. P3 0:00Period end
  90. P3 0:00Final