Thu, Apr 7, 2022·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Philadelphia Flyers 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 86% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 010 | 311 | 110 | 431 |
| CBJ | 19 | 010 | 08 | 127 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:06CBJEric RobinsonSHAssists: Vladislav Gavrikov, Sean Kuraly · Wrist, 0.19 xG0–1
- P2 8:00PHIKevin ConnautonUnassisted · Snap, 0.05 xG1–1
- P2 13:26PHIOwen TippettGWGAssists: Travis Sanheim, Kevin Hayes · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–1
- P2 16:41PHINoah CatesAssists: Ivan Provorov · Wrist, 0.15 xG3–1
- P3 16:55PHITravis KonecnyAssists: Morgan Frost, Travis Sanheim · Wrist, 0.75 xG4–1
Penalties (6)
- P1 3:21PHIJames van Riemsdyk: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 14:47CBJCarson Meyer: High sticking2 min
- P1 17:45PHIScott Laughton: Cross checking2 min
- P2 9:00CBJVladislav Gavrikov: Holding2 min
- P2 19:32CBJAndrew Peeke: Interference2 min
- P3 11:42CBJAdam Boqvist: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kuraly won the faceoff against Laughton
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestvan Riemsdyk – Konecny – Frost8:35
xG 1.16–0.16 (88%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Hayes – Tippett – Cates9:35
xG 0.49–0.17 (74%)attempts 10–4goals 3–0
- Atkinson – Laughton – Farabee9:16
xG 0.31–0.27 (53%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Thompson – Brown – Lindblom7:25
xG 0.07–0.24 (24%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestRistolainen – Sanheim16:10
xG 1.25–0.35 (78%)attempts 11–13goals 2–0
- Connauton – Attard12:10
xG 0.57–0.29 (66%)attempts 13–11goals 1–0
- Provorov – York12:02
xG 0.29–0.41 (42%)attempts 5–9goals 1–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestGaunce – Meyer – Robinson5:39
xG 0.35–0.17 (68%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Nyquist – Roslovic – Laine9:57
xG 0.37–0.21 (64%)attempts 11–6goals 0–1
- Nyquist – Bemstrom – Sillinger2:13
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Voracek – Bemstrom – Sillinger4:17
xG 0.19–0.15 (57%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWerenski – Peeke9:20
xG 0.44–0.37 (54%)attempts 8–8goals 0–2
- Gavrikov – Peeke4:28
xG 0.11–0.06 (67%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Bean10:31
xG 0.22–0.21 (52%)attempts 4–4goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 86% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).