Thu, Apr 7, 2022·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Vancouver Canucks 5, Arizona Coyotes 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 111 | 310 | 111 | 532 |
| ARI | 09 | 111 | 08 | 128 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:12VANAlex ChiassonPPAssists: Elias Pettersson, Bo Horvat · Wrist, 0.22 xG1–0
- P2 0:52VANBo HorvatGWGAssists: Vasily Podkolzin, Conor Garland · Wrap-around, 0.04 xG2–0
- P2 1:30VANBo HorvatAssists: Vasily Podkolzin, Conor Garland · Wrist, 0.14 xG3–0
- P2 7:27ARINick SchmaltzAssists: Travis Boyd · Backhand, 0.14 xG3–1
- P2 11:12VANElias PetterssonAssists: Alex Chiasson, J.T. Miller · Wrist, 0.12 xG4–1
- P3 4:24VANAlex ChiassonPPAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Elias Pettersson · Tip-in, 0.15 xG5–1
Penalties (5)
- P1 2:11ARIShayne Gostisbehere: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 4:43VANAlex Chiasson: Roughing2 min
- P2 13:13VANBo Horvat: Tripping2 min
- P3 3:07ARIJan Jenik: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 15:46VANKyle Burroughs: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Beagle won the faceoff against Lammikko
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestChiasson – Miller – Pettersson6:29
xG 0.35–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 1–0
- Horvat – Garland – Podkolzin10:57
xG 0.48–0.31 (61%)attempts 9–6goals 2–0
- Richardson – Petan – Lockwood3:54
xG 0.22–0.05 (81%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Miller – Pearson – Pettersson2:09
xG 0.12–0.02 (85%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Dermott16:39
xG 0.87–0.40 (69%)attempts 14–9goals 2–1
- Hunt – Burroughs16:45
xG 0.61–0.47 (56%)attempts 11–14goals 0–0
- Schenn – Ekman-Larsson14:14
xG 0.44–0.43 (51%)attempts 7–14goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestBoyd – Ritchie – Schmaltz10:21
xG 0.44–0.37 (54%)attempts 8–5goals 1–1
- Kessel – Carcone – Hayton10:46
xG 0.25–0.27 (49%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Ladd – Galchenyuk – Maccelli9:27
xG 0.48–0.52 (48%)attempts 14–7goals 0–1
- Eriksson – Beagle – Jenik11:09
xG 0.25–0.54 (32%)attempts 6–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestCapobianco – Kolyachonok16:24
xG 0.80–0.56 (59%)attempts 17–11goals 1–0
- Stralman – Mayo2:02
xG 0.00–0.12 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Stralman – Dineen13:54
xG 0.37–0.54 (41%)attempts 12–9goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).