Fri, Apr 8, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Boston Bruins 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 010 | 115 | 011 | 11 | 237 |
| TBL | 011 | 16 | 011 | 01 | 129 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 0:47BOSJake DeBruskAssists: Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron · Backhand, 0.13 xG1–0
- P2 3:28TBLPierre-Edouard BellemareAssists: Corey Perry, Jan Rutta · Slap, 0.12 xG1–1
- OT 3:37BOSCharlie CoyleGWGAssists: Jake DeBrusk, Charlie McAvoy · Wrist, 0.26 xG2–1
Penalties (8)
- P1 2:18BOSMike Reilly: High sticking2 min
- P1 11:33BOSMatt Grzelcyk: Cross checking2 min
- P1 11:50TBLAlex Killorn: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:21TBLAnthony Cirelli: Tripping2 min
- P2 12:08BOSErik Haula: Roughing2 min
- P2 17:20BOSNick Foligno: Tripping2 min
- P3 1:33BOSMike Reilly: High sticking2 min
- P3 15:45TBLOndrej Palat: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Coyle won the faceoff against Cirelli
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – DeBrusk9:44
xG 0.86–0.12 (88%)attempts 19–2goals 1–0
- Smith – Coyle – Frederic6:54
xG 0.34–0.22 (61%)attempts 5–5goals 0–1
- Haula – Hall – McLaughlin5:47
xG 0.14–0.10 (58%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Smith – Haula – Hall2:23
xG 0.05–0.01 (77%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – Carlo11:43
xG 0.66–0.12 (84%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Reilly – McAvoy12:13
xG 0.44–0.27 (61%)attempts 12–8goals 1–0
- Grzelcyk – McAvoy4:02
xG 0.23–0.17 (57%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
Tampa Bay Lightning
Forward lines
- bestPerry – Maroon – Bellemare6:30
xG 0.26–0.20 (56%)attempts 4–4goals 1–0
- Palat – Kucherov – Point9:28
xG 0.12–0.27 (31%)attempts 5–11goals 0–0
- Stamkos – Paul – Colton9:43
xG 0.16–0.40 (29%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Killorn – Cirelli – Hagel10:38
xG 0.28–0.53 (35%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHedman – Rutta12:43
xG 0.47–0.40 (54%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- Bogosian – Foote9:08
xG 0.20–0.27 (43%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Sergachev – Rutta2:09
xG 0.01–0.08 (13%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
TBL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line TBL is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (TBL − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).