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Ice Lab

Fri, Apr 8, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Boston Bruins 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 55% of the time.

TBL winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bergeron–Marchand–DeBruskFoligno–Lazar–NosekSmith–Coyle–FredericHaula–Hall–McLaughlinSmith–Coyle–HallSmith–Haula–HallHaula–Frederic–McLaughlinReilly–McAvoyGrzelcyk–CarloForbort–CliftonGrzelcyk–McAvoyReilly–CarloForbort–CarloForbort–McAvoyReilly–Clifton
Killorn–Cirelli–Hagel0:340.00–0.063:410.10–0.312:180.05–0.142:320.13–0.020:360.00–0.026:510.12–0.370:470.00–0.140:540.10–0.000:450.05–0.000:380.00–0.00
Stamkos–Paul–Colton2:020.00–0.241:300.02–0.000:470.00–0.000:510.01–0.001:200.01–0.051:380.00–0.001:050.02–0.002:490.00–0.123:470.12–0.160:450.00–0.00
Palat–Kucherov–Point4:580.09–0.210:450.00–0.051:580.04–0.006:330.12–0.071:120.00–0.171:230.00–0.03
Perry–Maroon–Bellemare4:310.14–0.001:220.12–0.031:340.10–0.110:530.00–0.063:580.16–0.03
Cernak–Sergachev6:060.12–0.650:580.12–0.001:390.09–0.001:220.02–0.026:450.26–0.191:530.00–0.241:110.06–0.000:470.00–0.100:510.05–0.000:370.00–0.03
Hedman–Rutta1:340.00–0.060:330.00–0.001:440.12–0.033:170.01–0.141:440.13–0.000:540.00–0.050:570.00–0.000:580.00–0.004:080.03–0.063:510.17–0.331:200.17–0.000:520.10–0.000:550.00–0.00
Bogosian–Foote0:350.00–0.044:250.03–0.052:280.10–0.003:080.02–0.212:120.10–0.001:480.09–0.000:490.00–0.050:300.00–0.00
Sergachev–Rutta0:570.00–0.050:500.01–0.000:530.00–0.030:510.01–0.03
Hedman–Cernak0:350.05–0.000:380.05–0.00
Bogosian–Hedman0:530.00–0.310:330.00–0.000:550.00–0.310:330.00–0.00
Sergachev–Foote0:340.00–0.001:110.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndKillorn FHagel FCirelli FPalat FPoint FKucherov FPaul FStamkos FColton FMaroon FPerry FBellemare FBogosian DHedman DCernak DSergachev DRutta DFoote DVasilevskiy GFrederic FSmith FCoyle FBergeron FMarchand FDeBrusk FMcLaughlin FHaula FHall FFoligno FLazar FNosek FCarlo DGrzelcyk DReilly DMcAvoy DForbort DClifton DUllmark G
TBLBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL3128:540:561:5048
Charlie McAvoyBOS3126:330:512:0846
Mikhail SergachevTBL2725:130:561:3836
Brandon CarloBOS2723:090:511:4535
Nikita KucherovTBL1922:141:102:2536
Charlie CoyleBOS2020:461:022:1120
Matt GrzelcykBOS2620:350:482:0932
Brayden PointTBL2120:300:591:3755
Mike ReillyBOS2720:060:452:1433
Erik CernakTBL2420:000:501:3826
Steven StamkosTBL1919:381:022:0342
Alex KillornTBL2319:370:511:4343
Brad MarchandBOS2019:230:582:2447
Anthony CirelliTBL2618:300:431:4949
Jan RuttaTBL2018:170:551:4905
Derek ForbortBOS2018:140:551:4324
Craig SmithBOS1617:021:042:0610
Jake DeBruskBOS2016:480:501:2372
Taylor HallBOS1816:470:562:0250
Patrice BergeronBOS2016:290:492:0137
Ondrej PalatTBL2115:480:451:1633
Erik HaulaBOS1815:310:522:0851
Connor CliftonBOS2014:190:431:2122
Nick PaulTBL1514:070:561:2901
Brandon HagelTBL1513:560:561:4214
Zach BogosianTBL1412:590:562:0210
Curtis LazarBOS1512:320:501:3303
Tomas NosekBOS1512:290:501:3814
Ross ColtonTBL1312:220:571:2401
Corey PerryTBL1612:010:451:3100
Cal FooteTBL1211:230:572:0013
Nick FolignoBOS1311:150:521:2910
Patrick MaroonTBL139:560:461:2601
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL159:500:391:1604
Trent FredericBOS129:480:491:4221
Marc McLaughlinBOS129:050:451:1121