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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 9, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Montréal Canadiens 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 77% of the time.

TOR winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:04Shot by Muzzin, saved by Allen
  3. P1 3:32Shot by Armia, saved by Kallgren
  4. P1 4:39Shot by Matthews, saved by Allen
  5. P1 5:08Shot by Nylander, saved by Allen
  6. P1 5:21Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Allen
  7. P1 7:19Shot by Anderson, saved by Kallgren
  8. P1 7:46Shot by Rielly, saved by Allen
  9. P1 8:00Shot by Matthews, saved by Allen
  10. P1 8:10Shot by Bunting, saved by Allen
  11. P1 8:34Shot by Muzzin, saved by Allen
  12. P1 8:43Shot by Caufield, saved by Kallgren
  13. P1 10:51Shot by Marner, saved by Allen
  14. P1 11:02Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Allen
  15. P1 11:10Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Allen
  16. P1 12:47Shot by Marner, saved by Allen
  17. P1 13:12Shot by Nylander, saved by Allen
  18. P1 13:30Shot by Giordano, saved by Allen
  19. P1 13:32Goal by Matthews (Giordano, Marner)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · MTL Petry, Edmundson, Pitlick, Suzuki, Caufield

  20. P1 13:59Goal by Matthews (Bunting, Holl)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Muzzin, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · MTL Wideman, Pitlick, Dauphin, Pezzetta, Harris

  21. P1 13:59Bunting: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Muzzin, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · MTL Wideman, Pitlick, Dauphin, Pezzetta, Harris

  22. P1 13:59Wideman: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Muzzin, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · MTL Wideman, Pitlick, Dauphin, Pezzetta, Harris

  23. P1 13:59Wideman: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Muzzin, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · MTL Wideman, Pitlick, Dauphin, Pezzetta, Harris

  24. P1 13:59Wideman: Misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Muzzin, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · MTL Wideman, Pitlick, Dauphin, Pezzetta, Harris

  25. P1 14:40Shot by Marner, saved by Montembeault5v4
  26. P1 15:17Shot by Nylander, saved by Montembeault5v4
  27. P1 15:23Shot by Suzuki, saved by Kallgren5v4
  28. P1 15:24Shot by Suzuki, saved by Kallgren5v4
  29. P1 15:25Shot by Suzuki, saved by Kallgren5v4
  30. P1 16:06Shot by Caufield, saved by Kallgren
  31. P1 18:17Shot by Dvorak, saved by Kallgren
  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 1:39Shot by Tavares, saved by Montembeault
  35. P2 1:54Shot by Armia, saved by Kallgren
  36. P2 2:07Shot by Giordano, saved by Montembeault
  37. P2 2:54Pezzetta: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Simmonds, Brodie, Blackwell, Lyubushkin · MTL Savard, Pitlick, Dauphin, Pezzetta, Harris

  38. P2 3:38Shot by Nylander, saved by Montembeault5v4
  39. P2 3:41Tavares: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · MTL Petry, Pitlick, Edmundson, Suzuki

  40. P2 3:45Shot by Edmundson, saved by Kallgren4v4
  41. P2 4:03Shot by Marner, saved by Montembeault4v4
  42. P2 4:27Shot by Nylander, saved by Montembeault4v4
  43. P2 5:33Shot by Petry, saved by Kallgren4v5
  44. P2 5:58Goal by Edmundson (Suzuki, Petry)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Tavares, Holl, Kerfoot, Kampf · MTL Petry, Gallagher, Edmundson, Suzuki, Caufield

  45. P2 8:07Goal by Tavares (Mikheyev, Kerfoot)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Tavares, Holl, Kerfoot, Mikheyev · MTL Pitlick, Suzuki, Harris, Romanov, Caufield

  46. P2 8:43Shot by Nylander, saved by Montembeault
  47. P2 9:07Shot by Harris, saved by Kallgren
  48. P2 11:25Shot by Dauphin, saved by Kallgren
  49. P2 11:50Shot by Rielly, saved by Montembeault
  50. P2 12:15Shot by Armia, saved by Kallgren
  51. P2 13:13Shot by Caufield, saved by Kallgren
  52. P2 15:09Romanov: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Brodie, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · MTL Savard, Gallagher, Armia, Dvorak, Romanov

  53. P2 15:42Shot by Matthews, saved by Montembeault5v4
  54. P2 15:59Rielly: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · MTL Petry, Edmundson, Pitlick, Suzuki

  55. P2 16:43Shot by Anderson, saved by Kallgren4v4
  56. P2 17:15Shot by Marner, saved by Montembeault4v5
  57. P2 18:03Goal by Caufield (Gallagher, Dvorak)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Brodie, Rielly, Marner, Kampf · MTL Gallagher, Edmundson, Dvorak, Suzuki, Caufield

  58. P2 18:32Shot by Anderson, saved by Kallgren
  59. P2 19:11Giordano: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Holl, Bunting, Matthews, Kampf · MTL Petry, Gallagher, Armia, Dvorak, Romanov

  60. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 1:24Shot by Evans, saved by Kallgren
  63. P3 3:10Shot by Nylander, saved by Montembeault
  64. P3 3:38Shot by Marner, saved by Montembeault
  65. P3 5:11Shot by Anderson, saved by Kallgren
  66. P3 5:35Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Montembeault
  67. P3 6:23Shot by Gallagher, saved by Kallgren
  68. P3 7:48Shot by Rielly, saved by Montembeault
  69. P3 8:24Shot by Engvall, saved by Montembeault
  70. P3 9:24Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Montembeault
  71. P3 9:44Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Montembeault
  72. P3 11:01Pitlick: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Simmonds, Brodie, Blackwell · MTL Petry, Pitlick, Edmundson, Suzuki, Caufield

  73. P3 11:17Suzuki: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · MTL Savard, Evans, Suzuki, Romanov

  74. P3 12:21Shot by Rielly, saved by Montembeault5v3
  75. P3 12:59Shot by Rielly, saved by Montembeault5v3
  76. P3 13:50Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Montembeault
  77. P3 14:07Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Montembeault
  78. P3 15:22Shot by Romanov, saved by Kallgren
  79. P3 16:03Shot by Suzuki, saved by Kallgren
  80. P3 16:14Shot by Matthews, saved by Montembeault
  81. P3 18:02Engvall: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Lyubushkin · MTL Wideman, Gallagher, Armia, Dvorak, Suzuki, Caufield

  82. P3 19:08Shot by Hoffman, saved by Kallgren4v6
  83. P3 19:53Shot by Gallagher, saved by Kallgren4v6
  84. P3 0:00Period end4v6
  85. P3 0:00Final