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Ice Lab

Sun, Apr 10, 2022·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Nashville Predators 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 50% of the time.

PIT winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:21Shot by Crosby, saved by Rittich
  3. P1 2:45Shot by Sissons, saved by DeSmith
  4. P1 2:51Shot by Ekholm, saved by DeSmith
  5. P1 4:58Goal by Crosby (Rakell, Letang)+22 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Matheson, Guentzel · NSH Borowiecki, Granlund, Benning, Tolvanen, Tomasino

  6. P1 7:04Shot by Luff, saved by DeSmith
  7. P1 7:37Shot by Carrier, saved by DeSmith
  8. P1 8:18Shot by Jeannot, saved by DeSmith
  9. P1 9:12Shot by Duchene, saved by DeSmith
  10. P1 10:57Shot by Cousins, saved by DeSmith
  11. P1 12:19Shot by Josi, saved by DeSmith
  12. P1 12:38Shot by Marino, saved by Rittich
  13. P1 16:31Shot by Johansen, saved by DeSmith
  14. P1 18:00Shot by Trenin, saved by DeSmith
  15. P1 18:49Goal by Duchene (Granlund)+22 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Zucker, Rakell, Ruhwedel, Pettersson · NSH Josi, Duchene, Granlund, Forsberg, Lauzon

  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 0:31Shot by Sissons, saved by DeSmith
  19. P2 0:48Shot by Lauzon, saved by DeSmith
  20. P2 2:47Shot by Blueger, saved by Rittich
  21. P2 3:22Shot by Duchene, saved by DeSmith
  22. P2 3:51Shot by Trenin, saved by DeSmith
  23. P2 3:52Shot by Jeannot, saved by DeSmith
  24. P2 4:09Shot by Tomasino, saved by DeSmith
  25. P2 4:23Shot by Tomasino, saved by DeSmith
  26. P2 7:54Jeannot: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Matheson, Guentzel · NSH Josi, Sissons, Lauzon, Trenin, Jeannot

  27. P2 7:54Matheson: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Matheson, Guentzel · NSH Josi, Sissons, Lauzon, Trenin, Jeannot

  28. P2 8:13Shot by Ekholm, saved by DeSmith
  29. P2 8:58Shot by Pettersson, saved by Rittich
  30. P2 9:11Shot by Malkin, saved by Rittich
  31. P2 9:21Shot by Rakell, saved by Rittich
  32. P2 10:24Carrier: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Carter, Letang, Kapanen, Marino, Rodrigues · NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Forsberg, Carrier

  33. P2 10:53Shot by Rust, saved by Rittich5v4
  34. P2 10:57Shot by Malkin, saved by Rittich5v4
  35. P2 12:26Shot by Rakell, saved by Rittich
  36. P2 12:39Kapanen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Carter, Dumoulin, Kapanen, Marino, Rodrigues · NSH Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Carrier, Tomasino

  37. P2 14:07Shot by Duchene, saved by DeSmith4v5
  38. P2 15:47Shot by Pettersson, saved by Rittich
  39. P2 16:28Letang: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Carter, Malkin, Letang, Rakell, Matheson · NSH Josi, Granlund, Forsberg, Sissons, Lauzon, Jeannot

  40. P2 16:37Shot by Duchene, saved by DeSmith4v5
  41. P2 18:00Shot by Josi, saved by DeSmith4v5
  42. P2 18:32Shot by Tolvanen, saved by DeSmith
  43. P2 18:56Shot by Matheson, saved by Rittich
  44. P2 19:06Shot by Guentzel, saved by Rittich
  45. P2 19:53Shot by Crosby, saved by Rittich
  46. P2 19:58Shot by Guentzel, saved by Rittich
  47. P2 0:00Malkin: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Dumoulin, Matheson, Guentzel · NSH Borowiecki, Sissons, Benning, Trenin, Jeannot

  48. P2 0:00Borowiecki: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Dumoulin, Matheson, Guentzel · NSH Borowiecki, Sissons, Benning, Trenin, Jeannot

  49. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 1:25Boyle: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Boyle, Letang, Rust, Ruhwedel · NSH Josi, Ekholm, Cousins, Tolvanen, Tomasino

  52. P3 3:36Shot by Tomasino, saved by DeSmith
  53. P3 3:42Shot by Lauzon, saved by DeSmith
  54. P3 4:28Shot by Jeannot, saved by DeSmith
  55. P3 4:31Goal by Cousins, unassisted+30 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Letang, Matheson, Guentzel, Kapanen · NSH Ekholm, Cousins, Sissons, Benning, Jeannot

  56. P3 5:43Shot by Rakell, saved by Rittich
  57. P3 7:28Shot by Carter, saved by Rittich
  58. P3 7:36Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Rittich
  59. P3 8:14Shot by Matheson, saved by Rittich
  60. P3 8:53Goal by Zucker (Crosby, Rakell)+33 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Dumoulin, Zucker, Rakell, Marino · NSH Josi, Granlund, Benning, Jeannot, Tolvanen

  61. P3 9:55Shot by Zucker, saved by Rittich
  62. P3 10:13Shot by Letang, saved by Rittich
  63. P3 10:37Shot by Letang, saved by Rittich
  64. P3 10:52Shot by Matheson, saved by Rittich
  65. P3 13:02Shot by Johansen, saved by DeSmith
  66. P3 13:06Shot by Josi, saved by DeSmith
  67. P3 13:07Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Rittich
  68. P3 13:54Shot by Tolvanen, saved by DeSmith
  69. P3 14:06Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Rittich
  70. P3 14:57Shot by Sissons, saved by DeSmith
  71. P3 14:58Shot by Jeannot, saved by DeSmith
  72. P3 15:31Shot by Josi, saved by DeSmith
  73. P3 15:49Shot by Crosby, saved by Rittich
  74. P3 16:27Shot by Luff, saved by DeSmith
  75. P3 17:05Shot by Letang, saved by Rittich
  76. P3 18:03Shot by Tomasino, saved by DeSmith
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. OT 0:00Period start
  79. OT 2:14Shot by Matheson, saved by Rittich3v3
  80. OT 2:21Goal by Crosby (Rakell)3v3+47 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rakell, Matheson · NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund

  81. OT 2:21Period end4v4
  82. OT 2:21Final