Fri, Apr 29, 2022·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Columbus Blue Jackets 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 012 | 110 | 214 | 336 |
| PIT | 316 | 217 | 017 | 550 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:51PITEvgeni MalkinAssists: Danton Heinen, Marcus Pettersson · Wrist, 0.25 xG0–1
- P1 5:31PITEvan RodriguesAssists: Jake Guentzel, Teddy Blueger · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–2
- P1 6:26PITMarcus PetterssonAssists: Evgeni Malkin, Brian Boyle · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–3
- P2 10:25CBJJustin DanforthAssists: Gabriel Carlsson · Wrist, 0.30 xG1–3
- P2 16:30PITKris LetangGWGAssists: Brock McGinn, Jeff Carter · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–4
- P2 18:54PITBrian BoyleAssists: Marcus Pettersson, Teddy Blueger · Tip-in, 0.10 xG1–5
- P3 6:58CBJOliver BjorkstrandPPAssists: Gustav Nyquist, Jakub Voracek · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–5
- P3 12:06CBJGustav NyquistPPAssists: Jakub Voracek, Jake Bean · Tip-in, 0.12 xG3–5
Penalties (12)
- P1 13:01PITMarcus Pettersson: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 18:44PITSidney Crosby: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:08CBJDean Kukan: Holding2 min
- P2 4:51PITJeff Carter: Cross checking2 min
- P2 12:33CBJCole Sillinger: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:50PITTeddy Blueger: Cross checking2 min
- P2 19:50CBJVladislav Gavrikov: Cross checking2 min
- P3 6:31PITEvan Rodrigues: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P3 6:31CBJCarson Meyer: Boarding2 min
- P3 6:31PITTeddy Blueger: Slashing2 min
- P3 11:38PITKasperi Kapanen: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 17:14CBJOliver Bjorkstrand: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Roslovic won the faceoff against Crosby
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestBjorkstrand – Johnson – Sillinger2:45
xG 0.56–0.10 (85%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
- Danforth – Bemstrom – Johnson3:25
xG 0.41–0.12 (78%)attempts 4–4goals 1–0
- Gaunce – Meyer – Robinson2:03
xG 0.11–0.06 (63%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Danforth – Bemstrom – Robinson6:24
xG 0.05–0.18 (22%)attempts 2–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Carlsson – Bayreuther8:06
xG 0.53–0.50 (51%)attempts 8–12goals 1–0
- Carlsson – Kukan2:37
xG 0.11–0.14 (44%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Peeke16:59
xG 0.86–1.14 (43%)attempts 21–24goals 0–2
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestBoyle – Blueger – Rodrigues5:40
xG 0.47–0.02 (97%)attempts 9–2goals 1–0
- Carter – McGinn – Kapanen9:50
xG 0.70–0.28 (72%)attempts 11–6goals 1–0
- Crosby – Rust – Guentzel10:08
xG 0.70–0.56 (56%)attempts 12–18goals 0–0
- Malkin – Rakell – Heinen8:34
xG 0.90–0.93 (49%)attempts 14–10goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestPettersson – Marino11:37
xG 1.28–0.21 (86%)attempts 19–6goals 3–0
- Letang – Dumoulin12:37
xG 0.71–0.72 (50%)attempts 13–18goals 1–0
- Matheson – Ruhwedel9:13
xG 0.59–0.61 (49%)attempts 11–14goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PIT's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PIT is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PIT − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).