Tue, Apr 12, 2022·Gila River Arena, Glendale
New Jersey Devils 6, Arizona Coyotes 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 83% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 18 | 317 | 213 | 638 |
| ARI | 18 | 16 | 07 | 221 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:13ARITravis BoydAssists: Nick Schmaltz, Nick Ritchie · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 10:51NJDFabian ZetterlundAssists: Nico Hischier, Yegor Sharangovich · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–1
- P2 5:24NJDKevin BahlAssists: Nathan Bastian, A.J. Greer · Slap, 0.02 xG2–1
- P2 18:36ARINick SchmaltzPPAssists: Shayne Gostisbehere, Matias Maccelli · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–2
- P2 19:14NJDTomas TatarGWGAssists: Jesper Bratt · Wrist, 0.14 xG3–2
- P2 19:36NJDJesper BoqvistAssists: Janne Kuokkanen, P.K. Subban · Wrist, 0.22 xG4–2
- P3 15:36NJDYegor SharangovichAssists: Fabian Zetterlund, Nico Hischier · Wrist, 0.14 xG5–2
- P3 17:05NJDYegor SharangovichAssists: Kevin Bahl, Nico Hischier · Backhand, 0.15 xG6–2
Penalties (11)
- P1 2:44NJDMichael McLeod: Interference2 min
- P1 7:11ARIDysin Mayo: High sticking2 min
- P1 16:34NJDTomas Tatar: Interference2 min
- P2 2:25ARIAndrew Ladd: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:13ARINate Smith: Interference2 min
- P2 18:01NJDTy Smith: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 3:19NJDTy Smith: High sticking2 min
- P3 10:51ARIKyle Capobianco: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:03ARIMichael Carcone: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:03NJDTy Smith: Embellishment2 min
- P3 18:55ARINick Ritchie: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hayton won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestHischier – Zetterlund – Sharangovich9:51
xG 0.54–0.19 (74%)attempts 8–7goals 2–0
- Greer – Bastian – McLeod5:04
xG 0.39–0.07 (85%)attempts 9–5goals 1–0
- Tatar – Bratt – Mercer7:49
xG 0.44–0.45 (49%)attempts 4–15goals 1–1
- Zacha – Kuokkanen – Boqvist8:29
xG 0.42–0.43 (49%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Graves8:54
xG 0.36–0.07 (83%)attempts 10–6goals 1–0
- Hamilton – Graves3:39
xG 0.31–0.14 (69%)attempts 3–8goals 1–0
- Subban – Smith11:10
xG 0.62–0.58 (51%)attempts 9–10goals 1–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestBoyd – Ritchie – Schmaltz8:02
xG 0.47–0.03 (94%)attempts 12–4goals 1–0
- Eriksson – Galchenyuk – McBain6:33
xG 0.17–0.08 (67%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Carcone – Hayton – Maccelli2:12
xG 0.11–0.11 (51%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Ladd – Smith – Maccelli2:05
xG 0.00–0.34 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Capobianco – Dineen11:43
xG 0.16–0.30 (34%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Stralman – Moser8:25
xG 0.59–0.76 (44%)attempts 11–11goals 1–1
- Gostisbehere – Mayo13:37
xG 0.47–0.71 (40%)attempts 15–11goals 0–3
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 83% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).