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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 14, 2022·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

New York Islanders 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 74% of the time.

PIT winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:24Shot by Pageau, saved by Jarry
  3. P1 0:50Shot by Rakell, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 1:13Shot by Crosby, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 1:14Shot by Rakell, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 2:54Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 3:53Shot by Carter, saved by Sorokin
  8. P1 3:55Shot by Carter, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 4:59Goal by Letang (Guentzel, Crosby)+22 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Matheson, Guentzel · NYI Chara, Parise, Barzal, Bellows, Dobson

  10. P1 5:14Shot by Kapanen, saved by Sorokin
  11. P1 6:45Shot by Martin, saved by Jarry
  12. P1 6:46Heinen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Matheson, Blueger, McGinn, Heinen · NYI Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, Johnston, Hutton

  13. P1 8:52Goal by Heinen (Boyle, Blueger)+11 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Boyle, Dumoulin, Blueger, Heinen, Marino · NYI Parise, Bailey, Palmieri, Pulock, Beauvillier

  14. P1 9:33Shot by Pelech, saved by Jarry
  15. P1 10:57Shot by Pulock, saved by Jarry
  16. P1 10:58Shot by Barzal, saved by Jarry
  17. P1 11:53Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 13:26Friedman: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: PIT Blueger, McGinn, Ruhwedel, Friedman, Heinen · NYI Chara, Martin, Cizikas, Johnston, Dobson

  19. P1 13:43Shot by Barzal, saved by Jarry4v5
  20. P1 13:50Shot by Barzal, saved by Jarry4v5
  21. P1 14:37Parise: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Boyle, Letang, Rust, Ruhwedel · NYI Parise, Bailey, Palmieri, Pulock, Beauvillier

  22. P1 14:55Shot by Palmieri, saved by Jarry4v4
  23. P1 15:08Shot by Crosby, saved by Sorokin4v4
  24. P1 15:44Shot by Barzal, saved by Jarry4v4
  25. P1 17:15Shot by Dobson, saved by Jarry4v5
  26. P1 18:43Shot by Carter, saved by Sorokin
  27. P1 19:05Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Sorokin
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:41Shot by Palmieri, saved by Jarry
  31. P2 2:07Shot by Bellows, saved by Jarry
  32. P2 2:21Shot by Parise, saved by Jarry
  33. P2 2:29Shot by Hutton, saved by Jarry
  34. P2 3:33Shot by Dobson, saved by Jarry
  35. P2 5:08Shot by Pulock, saved by Jarry
  36. P2 5:51Goal by Parise (Barzal)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Blueger, McGinn, Ruhwedel, Friedman, Heinen · NYI Parise, Greene, Barzal, Bellows, Hutton

  37. P2 7:03Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Sorokin
  38. P2 8:47Shot by Heinen, saved by Sorokin
  39. P2 9:16Shot by Chara, saved by Jarry
  40. P2 9:35Shot by Dobson, saved by Jarry
  41. P2 10:28Shot by Pelech, saved by Jarry
  42. P2 10:30Shot by Palmieri, saved by Jarry
  43. P2 11:00Shot by Hutton, saved by Jarry
  44. P2 11:41Shot by Pulock, saved by Jarry
  45. P2 12:10Goal by Guentzel (Crosby)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rakell, Guentzel · NYI Chara, Martin, Cizikas, Johnston, Dobson

  46. P2 12:13McGinn: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Dumoulin, Blueger, McGinn, Heinen, Marino · NYI Bailey, Palmieri, Pageau, Pelech, Pulock

  47. P2 12:22Shot by Nelson, saved by Jarry4v5
  48. P2 12:31Shot by Lee, saved by Jarry4v5
  49. P2 13:12Shot by Lee, saved by Jarry4v5
  50. P2 14:10Shot by Pulock, saved by Jarry4v5
  51. P2 14:15Shot by Martin, saved by Jarry
  52. P2 15:59Shot by Pulock, saved by Jarry
  53. P2 16:30Shot by Rust, saved by Sorokin
  54. P2 16:58Shot by Rakell, saved by Sorokin
  55. P2 18:01Pelech: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Dumoulin, Blueger, Guentzel, Heinen · NYI Bailey, Palmieri, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal

  56. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:25Shot by Pulock, saved by Jarry
  59. P3 1:10Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Jarry
  60. P3 1:24Crosby: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Dumoulin, Blueger, McGinn, Guentzel · NYI Chara, Barzal, Beauvillier, Bellows, Dobson

  61. P3 3:33Shot by Martin, saved by Jarry
  62. P3 4:35Shot by Friedman, saved by Sorokin
  63. P3 5:37Shot by Barzal, saved by Jarry
  64. P3 7:33Shot by Pulock, saved by Jarry
  65. P3 9:24Shot by Friedman, saved by Sorokin
  66. P3 10:44Goal by Crosby (Guentzel, Matheson)+3 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Matheson, Guentzel · NYI Bailey, Palmieri, Pageau, Pulock, Dobson

  67. P3 11:29Shot by Carter, saved by Sorokin
  68. P3 11:49Pelech: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Blueger, McGinn, Ruhwedel, Friedman, Heinen · NYI Bailey, Palmieri, Pageau, Pelech, Hutton

  69. P3 14:46Shot by Heinen, saved by Sorokin
  70. P3 15:05Shot by McGinn, saved by Sorokin
  71. P3 16:15Shot by Marino, saved by Sorokin
  72. P3 16:32Shot by Carter, saved by Sorokin
  73. P3 17:23Goal by Lee (Nelson)+1 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Letang, Zucker, Rust, Matheson · NYI Greene, Lee, Nelson, Pulock, Beauvillier

  74. P3 17:50Shot by Bailey, saved by Jarry5v6
  75. P3 17:59Goal by McGinn (Carter, Blueger)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Letang, Blueger, McGinn, Marino · NYI Bailey, Lee, Nelson, Pageau, Barzal, Dobson

  76. P3 18:21Shot by Parise, saved by Jarry
  77. P3 18:47Shot by Bellows, saved by Jarry
  78. P3 18:52Goal by Chara (Nelson)0 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Boyle, Dumoulin, McGinn, Marino · NYI Chara, Martin, Nelson, Johnston, Dobson

  79. P3 19:50Goal by Guentzel, unassisted5v60 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Matheson, Guentzel · NYI Bailey, Lee, Nelson, Pageau, Barzal, Dobson

  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final