Thu, Apr 14, 2022·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Arizona Coyotes 1, Vancouver Canucks 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 08 | 17 | 07 | 122 |
| VAN | 210 | 412 | 15 | 727 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:18VANAlex ChiassonAssists: J.T. Miller, Quinn Hughes · Tip-in, 0.09 xG0–1
- P1 19:00VANSheldon DriesPPGWGAssists: Brad Hunt, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Tip-in, 0.06 xG0–2
- P2 4:29VANElias PetterssonPPAssists: Quinn Hughes, J.T. Miller · Slap, 0.06 xG0–3
- P2 10:38ARIAndrew LaddPPAssists: Phil Kessel, J.J. Moser · Snap, 0.57 xG1–3
- P2 15:25VANVasily PodkolzinPPAssists: J.T. Miller, Quinn Hughes · Backhand, 0.18 xG1–4
- P2 15:39VANConor GarlandAssists: Vasily Podkolzin · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–5
- P2 19:33VANVasily PodkolzinAssists: J.T. Miller · Snap, 0.11 xG1–6
- P3 8:26VANAlex ChiassonAssists: J.T. Miller, Tyler Myers · Snap, 0.09 xG1–7
Penalties (6)
- P1 12:41ARITravis Boyd: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:09ARIJ.J. Moser: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 3:56ARIBarrett Hayton: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P2 8:38VANQuinn Hughes: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 13:52ARIKyle Capobianco: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 6:14VANConor Garland: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lammikko won the faceoff against Beagle
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestBoyd – Carcone – Smith11:01
xG 0.27–0.20 (58%)attempts 6–6goals 0–1
- Eriksson – Ladd – Kessel8:51
xG 0.51–0.57 (47%)attempts 12–9goals 0–1
- Schmaltz – Hayton – Maccelli12:15
xG 0.48–0.65 (42%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Beagle – Ritchie – McBain8:36
xG 0.08–0.57 (13%)attempts 7–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Capobianco – Kolyachonok13:49
xG 0.14–0.38 (27%)attempts 8–7goals 0–1
- Stralman – Moser15:42
xG 0.60–0.91 (40%)attempts 15–14goals 0–0
- Gostisbehere – Mayo14:54
xG 0.51–0.84 (38%)attempts 17–16goals 0–2
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestDickinson – Lammikko – Lockwood10:23
xG 0.53–0.14 (79%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Garland – Pettersson – Dries5:12
xG 0.37–0.19 (66%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Chiasson – Miller – Podkolzin8:54
xG 0.23–0.07 (77%)attempts 6–5goals 2–0
- Horvat – Garland – Pettersson3:49
xG 0.23–0.17 (57%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Ekman-Larsson9:59
xG 0.77–0.23 (77%)attempts 11–7goals 2–0
- Schenn – Hughes10:51
xG 0.62–0.34 (65%)attempts 6–8goals 2–0
- Hunt – Burroughs4:05
xG 0.33–0.14 (71%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).