Fri, Apr 22, 2022·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Washington Capitals 2, Arizona Coyotes 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 75% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 112 | 08 | 19 | 229 |
| ARI | 06 | 05 | 08 | 019 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:33WSHConor ShearyGWGAssists: Nicklas Backstrom, Justin Schultz · Wrist, 0.25 xG1–0
- P3 19:24WSHJohn CarlsonENAssists: Nic Dowd, Conor Sheary · Wrist, 0.51 xG2–0
Penalties (4)
- P1 7:36ARIMichael Carcone: Slashing2 min
- P2 0:08ARIKyle Capobianco: Interference2 min
- P3 5:08ARIPhil Kessel: Slashing2 min
- P3 11:14ARIAlex Galchenyuk: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dowd won the faceoff against McBain
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Washington Capitals
Forward lines
- bestDowd – Larsson – Hathaway9:37
xG 0.49–0.07 (88%)attempts 13–5goals 0–0
- Oshie – Eller – Mantha12:08
xG 0.67–0.37 (64%)attempts 17–4goals 0–0
- Backstrom – Johansson – Sheary9:09
xG 0.55–0.39 (59%)attempts 7–8goals 1–0
- Ovechkin – Kuznetsov – Wilson10:20
xG 0.18–0.74 (20%)attempts 5–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchultz – Orlov9:01
xG 0.40–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–2goals 1–0
- Carlson – van Riemsdyk4:26
xG 0.34–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
- Orlov – Jensen6:05
xG 0.24–0.07 (76%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Kessel – Galchenyuk3:55
xG 0.24–0.02 (93%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Ladd – Roussel – McBain8:42
xG 0.37–0.19 (66%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Kessel – Carcone – Smith7:03
xG 0.13–0.15 (46%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Boyd – Schmaltz – Hayton12:10
xG 0.40–0.63 (39%)attempts 10–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestStralman – Gostisbehere17:40
xG 0.76–0.46 (62%)attempts 16–13goals 0–0
- Capobianco – Moser15:32
xG 0.42–0.80 (34%)attempts 4–18goals 0–1
- Dineen – Kolyachonok11:51
xG 0.08–0.62 (12%)attempts 5–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it WSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 75% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − WSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).