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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 23, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Nashville Predators 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 76% of the time.

TBL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:54Shot by Killorn, saved by Saros
  3. P1 1:14Forsberg: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · NSH Borowiecki, Duchene, Granlund, Forsberg, Benning

  4. P1 1:21Shot by Hedman, saved by Saros5v4
  5. P1 1:51Goal by Hedman (Stamkos, Kucherov)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point · NSH Ekholm, Sissons, Carrier, Jeannot

  6. P1 2:05Shot by Kunin, saved by Elliott
  7. P1 3:10Shot by Luff, saved by Elliott
  8. P1 3:10Luff: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Palat, Kucherov, Sergachev, Foote · NSH Borowiecki, McCarron, Carrier, Luff, Tomasino

  9. P1 3:10Sergachev: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Palat, Kucherov, Sergachev, Foote · NSH Borowiecki, McCarron, Carrier, Luff, Tomasino

  10. P1 5:01Shot by Josi, saved by Elliott4v4
  11. P1 5:09Shot by Point, saved by Saros4v4
  12. P1 6:20Maroon: Elbowing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Maroon, Cirelli, Sergachev, Foote · NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Carrier, Luff, Tomasino

  13. P1 7:50Shot by Carrier, saved by Elliott4v5
  14. P1 10:51Shot by Rutta, saved by Saros
  15. P1 10:59Goal by Cirelli (Sergachev)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Paul, Cirelli, Sergachev, Hagel, Rutta · NSH Josi, Johansen, Cousins, Kunin, Fabbro

  16. P1 11:44Shot by Cirelli, saved by Saros
  17. P1 12:37Shot by Cousins, saved by Elliott
  18. P1 12:58Cousins: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Kucherov, Rutta · NSH Ekholm, Johansen, Cousins, Carrier, Kunin

  19. P1 12:58Kucherov: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Kucherov, Rutta · NSH Ekholm, Johansen, Cousins, Carrier, Kunin

  20. P1 15:19Shot by Trenin, saved by Elliott
  21. P1 15:56Foote: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, McDonagh, Colton, Foote · NSH Josi, McCarron, Fabbro, Luff, Tomasino

  22. P1 16:55Shot by Josi, saved by Elliott4v5
  23. P1 17:18Goal by Josi (Duchene, Forsberg)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Paul, Sergachev · NSH Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg

  24. P1 17:27Shot by Point, saved by Saros
  25. P1 18:14Jeannot: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Point, Sergachev, Colton, Hagel, Foote · NSH Ekholm, Sissons, Trenin, Carrier, Jeannot

  26. P1 18:18Shot by Hedman, saved by Saros5v4
  27. P1 18:32Shot by Stamkos, saved by Saros5v4
  28. P1 18:39Shot by Kucherov, saved by Saros5v4
  29. P1 19:34Shot by Kucherov, saved by Saros5v4
  30. P1 19:40Goal by Kucherov (Point)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point · NSH Borowiecki, Sissons, Benning, Trenin

  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 0:14Shot by Cousins, saved by Elliott
  34. P2 1:31Shot by Trenin, saved by Elliott
  35. P2 2:26Shot by Josi, saved by Elliott
  36. P2 2:40Shot by Maroon, saved by Saros
  37. P2 4:27Shot by Cernak, saved by Saros
  38. P2 6:01Maroon: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Stamkos, Bogosian, Kucherov, Sergachev · NSH Josi, McCarron, Carrier, Luff, Tomasino

  39. P2 6:20Shot by Granlund, saved by Elliott4v5
  40. P2 7:36Shot by Paul, saved by Saros4v5
  41. P2 8:45Maroon: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, McDonagh, Bogosian, Point · NSH Ekholm, Cousins, Sissons, Carrier, Jeannot

  42. P2 8:51Shot by Forsberg, saved by Elliott4v5
  43. P2 9:08Shot by Duchene, saved by Elliott4v5
  44. P2 9:49Shot by Hagel, saved by Saros4v5
  45. P2 10:42Goal by Carrier (Tomasino, Ekholm)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Paul, Sergachev · NSH Ekholm, Cousins, Carrier, Jeannot, Tomasino

  46. P2 11:44Shot by Kucherov, saved by Saros
  47. P2 11:59Shot by Tomasino, saved by Elliott
  48. P2 12:16Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Elliott
  49. P2 13:49Shot by Palat, saved by Saros
  50. P2 13:58Goal by Stamkos (Kucherov, Palat)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Palat, Kucherov, Sergachev, Rutta · NSH Josi, Johansen, Cousins, Kunin, Fabbro

  51. P2 16:04Shot by Perry, saved by Saros
  52. P2 17:12Shot by Hagel, saved by Saros
  53. P2 17:48Shot by Sergachev, saved by Saros
  54. P2 17:50Shot by Sergachev, saved by Saros
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:58Shot by Cirelli, saved by Saros
  58. P3 1:05Shot by Hagel, saved by Saros
  59. P3 1:32Shot by Palat, saved by Saros
  60. P3 1:34Shot by Palat, saved by Saros
  61. P3 1:37Goal by Colton (Hedman, Paul)+5 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Paul, Point, Cernak, Colton · NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Carrier

  62. P3 2:08Goal by Maroon (Stamkos)+2 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, McDonagh, Stamkos, Foote · NSH Borowiecki, Benning, McCarron, Luff, Tomasino

  63. P3 2:23Shot by Josi, saved by Elliott
  64. P3 2:36Shot by Fabbro, saved by Elliott
  65. P3 4:51Shot by Johansen, saved by Elliott
  66. P3 6:28Shot by Hagel, saved by Rittich
  67. P3 6:29Shot by Cirelli, saved by Rittich
  68. P3 6:39Shot by Ekholm, saved by Elliott
  69. P3 6:52Shot by Rutta, saved by Rittich
  70. P3 7:24Rutta: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Palat, Kucherov, Sergachev, Rutta · NSH Josi, Johansen, Cousins, Benning, Tomasino

  71. P3 7:24Cousins: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Palat, Kucherov, Sergachev, Rutta · NSH Josi, Johansen, Cousins, Benning, Tomasino

  72. P3 10:19Shot by Cernak, saved by Rittich
  73. P3 11:21Shot by Perry, saved by Rittich
  74. P3 12:14Shot by Killorn, saved by Rittich
  75. P3 14:47Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rittich
  76. P3 16:25Shot by Cirelli, saved by Rittich
  77. P3 19:32Shot by Sergachev, saved by Rittich
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final