Sat, Apr 23, 2022·Gila River Arena, Glendale
St. Louis Blues 5, Arizona Coyotes 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 315 | 113 | 04 | 11 | 533 |
| ARI | 16 | 03 | 311 | 00 | 420 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:13STLJustin FaulkAssists: Nathan Walker, Logan Brown · Slap, 0.03 xG1–0
- P1 5:51STLIvan BarbashevAssists: Justin Faulk, Nick Leddy · Snap, 0.53 xG2–0
- P1 16:20STLBrandon SaadPPUnassisted · Backhand, 0.15 xG3–0
- P1 17:11ARINate SmithAssists: Anton Stralman, Michael Carcone · Deflected, 0.10 xG3–1
- P2 2:56STLLogan BrownAssists: Dakota Joshua · Wrist, 0.22 xG4–1
- P3 5:39ARIBokondji ImamaAssists: Alex Galchenyuk · Wrist, 0.19 xG4–2
- P3 6:23ARIMichael CarconeAssists: Anton Stralman, Phil Kessel · Wrist, 0.11 xG4–3
- P3 15:18ARIJ.J. MoserAssists: Nick Schmaltz, Jan Jenik · Wrist, 0.05 xG4–4
- OT 0:30STLJustin FaulkGWGAssists: Vladimir Tarasenko, Robert Thomas · Snap, 0.15 xG5–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 11:12ARIAlex Galchenyuk: Hooking2 min
- P1 15:40ARIShayne Gostisbehere: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P1 18:46STLAlexey Toropchenko: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 19:54ARIAlex Galchenyuk: High sticking2 min
- P2 10:40STLDavid Perron: High sticking2 min
- P2 11:47ARINick Schmaltz: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Thomas won the faceoff against McBain
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestWalker – Joshua – Brown10:43
xG 1.57–0.21 (88%)attempts 18–3goals 2–0
- Barbashev – Kyrou – Toropchenko10:43
xG 1.01–0.64 (61%)attempts 12–13goals 1–2
- Tarasenko – Buchnevich – Thomas11:27
xG 0.39–0.25 (61%)attempts 4–5goals 0–1
- Perron – O'Reilly – Saad10:33
xG 0.16–0.79 (17%)attempts 7–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestLeddy – Faulk15:36
xG 1.45–0.31 (82%)attempts 18–7goals 2–1
- Bortuzzo – Rosen10:49
xG 0.81–0.41 (67%)attempts 12–7goals 0–2
- Scandella – Parayko15:34
xG 0.81–0.96 (46%)attempts 12–14goals 1–1
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Roussel – McBain10:04
xG 0.65–0.41 (61%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Boyd – Schmaltz – Hayton10:30
xG 0.37–0.43 (46%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Galchenyuk – Imama – Jenik4:48
xG 0.26–0.52 (33%)attempts 4–7goals 1–1
- Kessel – Carcone – Smith12:03
xG 0.47–1.43 (25%)attempts 9–12goals 2–2
Defence pairs
- bestStralman – Gostisbehere15:47
xG 0.93–0.32 (74%)attempts 13–6goals 2–0
- Gostisbehere – Capobianco2:02
xG 0.00–0.20 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Gostisbehere – Dineen2:07
xG 0.00–0.28 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).