Sat, Feb 26, 2022·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Toronto Maple Leafs 10, Detroit Red Wings 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 76% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 1:49Shot by Kase, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P1 2:15Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P1 2:46Shot by Bunting, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P1 3:06Shot by Liljegren, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P1 3:21Shot by Matthews, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P1 3:33Shot by Tavares, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P1 3:52Goal by Nylander (Holl, Kase)+11 pts WP
On ice: DET Staal, Larkin, Hronek, Zadina, Raymond · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Holl, Nylander, Kase
- P1 4:11Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Campbell
- P1 5:06Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P1 5:28Shot by Hronek, saved by Campbell
- P1 6:14Shot by Bunting, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P1 6:18Goal by Bunting (Holl, Marner)+15 pts WP
On ice: DET Gagner, Leddy, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Seider · TOR Brodie, Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews
- P1 7:01Shot by Marner, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P1 9:15Shot by Robertson, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P1 10:26Shot by Hronek, saved by Campbell
- P1 10:30Shot by Staal, saved by Campbell
- P1 10:33Goal by Raymond (Staal, Hronek)+16 pts WP
On ice: DET Staal, Larkin, Hronek, Zadina, Raymond · TOR Rielly, Kerfoot, Liljegren, Kampf, Mikheyev
- P1 11:06Goal by Kampf (Mikheyev, Kerfoot)+16 pts WP
On ice: DET Staal, Larkin, Hronek, Zadina, Raymond · TOR Brodie, Holl, Kerfoot, Kampf, Mikheyev
- P1 14:20Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Greiss
- P1 14:57Tavares: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: DET DeKeyser, Bertuzzi, Lindstrom, Suter, Zadina · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, Lyubushkin
- P1 16:16Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Campbell5v4
- P1 16:54Shot by Zadina, saved by Campbell5v4
- P1 17:32Shot by Matthews, saved by Greiss
- P1 18:19Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Campbell
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:17Shot by Rowney, saved by Campbell
- P2 0:19Shot by Erne, saved by Campbell
- P2 0:33Goal by Marner (Matthews, Bunting)+10 pts WP
On ice: DET Gagner, Leddy, Rowney, Erne, Seider · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews
- P2 4:13Goal by Marner (Matthews, Bunting)+4 pts WP
On ice: DET Staal, Gagner, Rowney, Erne, Hronek · TOR Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren, Sandin
- P2 5:17Shot by Larkin, saved by Campbell
- P2 5:38Shot by Rielly, saved by Greiss
- P2 6:28Robertson: Boarding (2 min)
On ice: DET Leddy, Bertuzzi, Fabbri, Suter, Seider · TOR Spezza, Brodie, Liljegren, Robertson, Mikheyev
- P2 7:09Shot by Erne, saved by Campbell5v4
- P2 9:10Shot by Matthews, saved by Greiss
- P2 9:19Goal by Marner (Bunting, Matthews)+2 pts WP
On ice: DET Namestnikov, DeKeyser, Rasmussen, Lindstrom, Veleno · TOR Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Sandin, Lyubushkin
- P2 10:59Shot by Seider, saved by Campbell
- P2 11:33Shot by Zadina, saved by Campbell
- P2 12:58Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Campbell
- P2 13:02Shot by Leddy, saved by Campbell
- P2 13:47Goal by Gagner, unassisted+1 pts WP
On ice: DET Staal, Gagner, Rowney, Larkin, Hronek · TOR Brodie, Holl, Kerfoot, Kampf, Mikheyev
- P2 14:38Shot by Rielly, saved by Greiss
- P2 15:06Shot by Seider, saved by Campbell
- P2 16:30Shot by Robertson, saved by Greiss
- P2 16:41Shot by Nylander, saved by Greiss
- P2 16:45Shot by Rielly, saved by Greiss
- P2 17:27Shot by Kase, saved by Greiss
- P2 18:38Goal by Matthews (Brodie, Marner)+1 pts WP
On ice: DET DeKeyser, Larkin, Lindstrom, Suter, Raymond · TOR Brodie, Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews
- P2 19:40Shot by Tavares, saved by Greiss
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:28Shot by Seider, saved by Campbell
- P3 0:35Goal by Hronek (Staal, Raymond)+1 pts WP
On ice: DET Staal, Larkin, Hronek, Zadina, Raymond · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Holl, Nylander, Kase
- P3 2:02Shot by Erne, saved by Campbell
- P3 2:09Goal by Rowney (Hronek, Erne)+2 pts WP
On ice: DET Staal, Gagner, Rowney, Erne, Hronek · TOR Spezza, Simmonds, Rielly, Liljegren, Robertson
- P3 3:14Shot by Larkin, saved by Campbell
- P3 3:31Shot by Zadina, saved by Campbell
- P3 4:14Shot by Liljegren, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P3 4:42Goal by Veleno (Hronek, DeKeyser)+5 pts WP
On ice: DET Staal, Namestnikov, Hronek, Rasmussen, Veleno · TOR Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren
- P3 5:09Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Mrazek
- P3 5:21Goal by Rasmussen (Seider, Veleno)+15 pts WP
On ice: DET Leddy, Namestnikov, Rasmussen, Veleno, Seider · TOR Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren
- P3 7:04Goal by Mikheyev (Kerfoot, Lyubushkin)+14 pts WP
On ice: DET DeKeyser, Bertuzzi, Fabbri, Lindstrom, Suter · TOR Spezza, Rielly, Kerfoot, Liljegren, Mikheyev
- P3 7:20Shot by Rielly, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P3 7:45Goal by Raymond (Larkin, Seider)+14 pts WP
On ice: DET Leddy, Larkin, Zadina, Seider, Raymond · TOR Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren
- P3 7:59Shot by Kase, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P3 8:18Shot by Hronek, saved by Mrazek
- P3 8:27Shot by Lindstrom, saved by Mrazek
- P3 9:46Shot by Marner, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P3 10:23Marner: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: DET Leddy, Rowney, Bertuzzi, Fabbri, Seider · TOR Brodie, Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews
- P3 10:33Goal by Kase (Kampf, Holl)5v4+16 pts WP
On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri, Seider, Raymond · TOR Brodie, Holl, Kase, Kampf
- P3 13:00Shot by Bunting, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P3 13:37Shot by Robertson, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P3 13:46Shot by Erne, saved by Mrazek
- P3 15:41Goal by Marner (Bunting)+1 pts WP
On ice: DET Staal, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Hronek, Zadina · TOR Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren
- P3 16:32Shot by Kase, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P3 16:46Shot by Tavares, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P3 18:10Shot by Larkin, saved by Mrazek
- P3 18:22Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Nedeljkovic
- P3 19:01Shot by Leddy, saved by Mrazek
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final