Tue, Apr 26, 2022·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Arizona Coyotes 5, Minnesota Wild 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 08 | 110 | 48 | 526 |
| MIN | 18 | 011 | 219 | 338 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:05MINRyan HartmanAssists: Matt Boldy, Kirill Kaprizov · Wrist, 0.18 xG0–1
- P2 18:15ARIAnton StralmanAssists: Nick Schmaltz, Barrett Hayton · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–1
- P3 0:20ARIJack McBainAssists: Anton Stralman, Shayne Gostisbehere · Tip-in, 0.04 xG2–1
- P3 2:56ARIAntoine RousselAssists: Shayne Gostisbehere, Phil Kessel · Backhand, 0.11 xG3–1
- P3 4:51MINJoel Eriksson EkAssists: Marcus Foligno, Kirill Kaprizov · Backhand, 0.16 xG3–2
- P3 5:15MINMarcus FolignoAssists: Joel Eriksson Ek, Jordan Greenway · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–3
- P3 10:22ARITravis BoydPPGWGAssists: Shayne Gostisbehere, Barrett Hayton · Deflected, 0.09 xG4–3
- P3 18:41ARIPhil KesselENAssists: Nick Schmaltz · Wrist, 0.75 xG5–3
Penalties (11)
- P1 4:14ARINick Schmaltz: Slashing2 min
- P1 15:16ARIAnton Stralman: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:27ARIJ.J. Moser: Hooking2 min
- P2 5:46MINNick Bjugstad: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 7:23MINKevin Fiala: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 11:53ARIShayne Gostisbehere: Tripping2 min
- P3 6:18ARINick Schmaltz: Hooking2 min
- P3 9:35MINRyan Hartman: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 10:22MINNick Bjugstad: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P3 13:09ARIBarrett Hayton: Slashing2 min
- P3 0:00MINKevin Fiala: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gaudreau won the faceoff against McBain
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestEriksson – Roussel – McBain7:03
xG 0.35–0.16 (69%)attempts 7–4goals 1–1
- Kessel – Carcone – Smith6:49
xG 0.44–0.34 (57%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Boyd – Schmaltz – Hayton9:32
xG 0.32–0.22 (59%)attempts 9–11goals 1–0
- Galchenyuk – Imama – Jenik3:16
xG 0.00–0.51 (0%)attempts 0–8goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestCapobianco – Soderstrom3:53
xG 0.63–0.12 (84%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Stralman – Moser3:01
xG 0.11–0.00 (96%)attempts 1–1goals 1–0
- Dineen – Soderstrom3:01
xG 0.08–0.05 (63%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Greenway – Eriksson Ek6:22
xG 0.39–0.00 (100%)attempts 9–2goals 1–0
- Gaudreau – Fiala – Boldy6:13
xG 0.10–0.10 (48%)attempts 4–6goals 0–2
- Bjugstad – Hartman – Kaprizov8:39
xG 0.34–0.39 (47%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Deslauriers – Jost – Duhaime7:56
xG 0.03–1.10 (3%)attempts 8–16goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKulikov – Brodin12:25
xG 0.91–0.50 (65%)attempts 19–10goals 3–0
- Goligoski – Merrill8:29
xG 0.26–0.13 (67%)attempts 9–7goals 0–1
- Kulikov – Merrill2:53
xG 0.11–0.34 (24%)attempts 2–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).