Tue, Apr 26, 2022·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Seattle Kraken 2, Vancouver Canucks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 06 | 216 | 010 | 232 |
| VAN | 313 | 03 | 211 | 527 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:46VANSheldon DriesAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 3:34VANJ.T. MillerAssists: Conor Garland, Quinn Hughes · Slap, 0.10 xG0–2
- P1 15:05VANOliver Ekman-LarssonPPGWGAssists: Conor Garland, Nic Petan · Slap, 0.05 xG0–3
- P2 4:59SEAJordan EberlePPAssists: Matty Beniers, Jared McCann · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–3
- P2 9:12SEAMorgan GeekieAssists: Riley Sheahan, Adam Larsson · Snap, 0.13 xG2–3
- P3 13:10VANLuke SchennAssists: Matthew Highmore, Quinn Hughes · Wrist, 0.28 xG2–4
- P3 15:59VANQuinn HughesAssists: Conor Garland · Snap, 0.14 xG2–5
Penalties (11)
- P1 8:50VANKyle Burroughs: Hooking2 min
- P1 13:09SEACarson Soucy: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P1 19:10VANLuke Schenn: Interference2 min
- P1 19:22VANOliver Ekman-Larsson: Tripping2 min
- P2 2:58VANTyler Myers: Cross checking2 min
- P2 3:04VANBrad Richardson: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 4:59VANJ.T. Miller: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 11:48SEAKarson Kuhlman: Interference2 min
- P2 11:58VANJ.T. Miller: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:12VANLuke Schenn: Tripping2 min
- P3 10:31SEAYanni Gourde: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Miller won the faceoff against Gourde
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestGourde – McCann – Kuhlman8:26
xG 0.44–0.22 (67%)attempts 8–5goals 0–1
- Rask – Wennberg – Sprong8:52
xG 0.52–0.39 (57%)attempts 11–7goals 0–1
- Sheahan – Donskoi – Geekie8:03
xG 0.26–0.15 (63%)attempts 7–5goals 0–1
- Eberle – Donato – Beniers10:16
xG 0.06–0.73 (7%)attempts 2–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSoucy – Borgen9:38
xG 0.33–0.16 (67%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Larsson – Oleksiak14:59
xG 0.47–0.40 (54%)attempts 10–9goals 0–2
- Pouliot – Cholowski10:22
xG 0.58–0.63 (48%)attempts 16–10goals 1–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Richardson – Dickinson – Highmore8:29
xG 0.56–0.52 (52%)attempts 9–9goals 1–0
- Petan – Lammikko – Dries6:55
xG 0.20–0.24 (45%)attempts 6–5goals 1–1
- Chiasson – Miller – Garland9:41
xG 0.31–0.42 (42%)attempts 7–8goals 1–0
- Boeser – Pettersson – Podkolzin8:58
xG 0.17–0.28 (37%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchenn – Hughes14:26
xG 0.76–0.40 (65%)attempts 16–10goals 1–1
- Myers – Ekman-Larsson12:46
xG 0.22–0.52 (30%)attempts 8–13goals 1–0
- Hunt – Burroughs12:07
xG 0.32–0.65 (33%)attempts 9–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).