Wed, Apr 27, 2022·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Arizona Coyotes 4, Dallas Stars 3 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 014 | 07 | 315 | 11 | 437 |
| DAL | 27 | 118 | 03 | 01 | 329 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:42DALJani HakanpääAssists: Esa Lindell, Tyler Seguin · Slap, 0.04 xG0–1
- P1 13:48DALTyler SeguinAssists: Jason Robertson, Joe Pavelski · Deflected, 0.14 xG0–2
- P2 2:58DALMiro HeiskanenPPAssists: John Klingberg, Joe Pavelski · Slap, 0.13 xG0–3
- P3 3:43ARIAnton StralmanAssists: Nick Schmaltz, Barrett Hayton · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–3
- P3 7:20ARIShayne GostisbehereUnassisted · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–3
- P3 11:58ARIBarrett HaytonPPAssists: Phil Kessel, Shayne Gostisbehere · Snap, 0.16 xG3–3
- OT 1:43ARITravis BoydGWGAssists: Kyle Capobianco, Barrett Hayton · Wrist, 0.15 xG4–3
Penalties (7)
- P1 16:31DALRadek Faksa: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:12ARIAntoine Roussel: Cross checking2 min
- P2 1:49ARIKyle Capobianco: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P2 2:44ARIAntoine Roussel: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:00ARIKyle Capobianco: Cross checking2 min
- P3 10:26DALMichael Raffl: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P3 11:18DALRyan Suter: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00McBain won the faceoff against Pavelski
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestKessel – Carcone – Smith9:19
xG 0.50–0.27 (66%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Galchenyuk – O'Brien – Jenik9:44
xG 0.77–0.65 (54%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
- Boyd – Schmaltz – Hayton10:15
xG 0.23–0.52 (31%)attempts 5–13goals 1–2
- Eriksson – Roussel – McBain8:00
xG 0.31–0.63 (33%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestCapobianco – Moser13:44
xG 0.99–0.26 (79%)attempts 15–6goals 0–1
- Stralman – Gostisbehere15:37
xG 1.02–1.01 (50%)attempts 16–20goals 2–1
- Dineen – Soderstrom12:19
xG 0.22–0.67 (24%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestPavelski – Hintz – Robertson9:29
xG 0.61–0.23 (73%)attempts 14–7goals 0–2
- Benn – Seguin – Gurianov8:41
xG 0.43–0.19 (69%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Radulov – Namestnikov – Peterson7:44
xG 0.34–0.32 (51%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Glendening – Faksa – Raffl10:00
xG 0.47–0.60 (44%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHakanpää – Lindell11:55
xG 0.51–0.22 (69%)attempts 10–4goals 2–1
- Klingberg – Lindell4:43
xG 0.17–0.03 (84%)attempts 2–4goals 0–1
- Hakanpää – Harley2:09
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DAL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DAL is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DAL − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).