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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 17, 2022·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul

Colorado Avalanche 6, Minnesota Wild 3

Away

Colorado Avalanche

6

Final

Home

Minnesota Wild

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 63% of the time.

MIN winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:59Shot by Dumba, saved by Georgiev
  3. P1 1:44Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Gustavsson
  4. P1 2:06Shot by Rantanen, saved by Gustavsson
  5. P1 2:08Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gustavsson
  6. P1 3:04Shot by Meyers, saved by Gustavsson
  7. P1 3:30Goal by Meyers (Johnson, Girard)+13 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Brodin, Dumba, Gaudreau, Steel, Boldy · COL Johnson, Sedlak, MacDermid, Girard, Meyers

  8. P1 4:14Goal by Kaprizov (Addison, Jost)6v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Goligoski, Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Jost, Addison · COL Nichushkin, Toews, Rodrigues, Makar, Newhook

  9. P1 6:49Shot by Addison, saved by Georgiev
  10. P1 7:30Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Georgiev
  11. P1 7:50Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Gustavsson
  12. P1 7:59Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Gustavsson
  13. P1 8:57Shot by Addison, saved by Georgiev
  14. P1 9:35Shot by Steel, saved by Georgiev
  15. P1 12:24Shot by Duhaime, saved by Georgiev
  16. P1 13:36Shot by Steel, saved by Georgiev
  17. P1 15:08Goal by Girard (MacKinnon, Nichushkin)+17 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Goligoski, Zuccarello, Kaprizov, Jost, Addison · COL Johnson, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rodrigues, Girard

  18. P1 15:49Shot by Makar, saved by Gustavsson
  19. P1 16:27Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Georgiev
  20. P1 16:36Shot by Goligoski, saved by Georgiev
  21. P1 17:25Shot by Girard, saved by Gustavsson
  22. P1 19:41Shot by Shaw, saved by Georgiev
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:26Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gustavsson
  26. P2 1:21Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Georgiev
  27. P2 1:33Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Georgiev
  28. P2 2:36Shot by Byram, saved by Gustavsson
  29. P2 3:23Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Gustavsson
  30. P2 3:32Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Gustavsson
  31. P2 5:04Rantanen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Zuccarello, Brodin, Dumba, Gaudreau, Eriksson Ek · COL MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Rantanen, Girard

  32. P2 5:22Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Georgiev5v4
  33. P2 6:09Goal by Eriksson Ek (Addison, Boldy)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Addison, Boldy · COL Manson, Nichushkin, Toews, O'Connor

  34. P2 6:25Shot by Foligno, saved by Georgiev
  35. P2 7:51Shot by Brodin, saved by Georgiev
  36. P2 8:11Shot by O'Connor, saved by Gustavsson
  37. P2 8:24Shot by Makar, saved by Gustavsson
  38. P2 8:37Foligno: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Foligno, Brodin, Dumba, Hartman, Eriksson Ek · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  39. P2 10:46Shot by Addison, saved by Georgiev
  40. P2 11:27O'Connor: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Goligoski, Kaprizov, Steel, Addison, Boldy · COL Cogliano, Compher, Toews, Girard, O'Connor

  41. P2 11:27Hartman: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: MIN Goligoski, Kaprizov, Steel, Addison, Boldy · COL Cogliano, Compher, Toews, Girard, O'Connor

  42. P2 11:57Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gustavsson4v4
  43. P2 11:59Goal by Rantanen (MacKinnon, Makar)4v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Brodin, Dumba, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov · COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  44. P2 12:38Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Georgiev4v4
  45. P2 13:59Shot by Cogliano, saved by Gustavsson
  46. P2 14:06Shot by Manson, saved by Gustavsson
  47. P2 14:12Shot by Girard, saved by Gustavsson
  48. P2 14:13Shot by Newhook, saved by Gustavsson
  49. P2 14:47Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Georgiev
  50. P2 15:22Shot by Shaw, saved by Georgiev
  51. P2 16:31Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gustavsson
  52. P2 16:40Shot by Compher, saved by Gustavsson
  53. P2 16:43Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Gustavsson
  54. P2 16:58Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Gustavsson
  55. P2 17:07Rodrigues: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Goligoski, Zuccarello, Kaprizov, Jost, Addison · COL Manson, Nichushkin, Rodrigues, Byram, Newhook

  56. P2 17:28Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Georgiev5v4
  57. P2 17:50Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Georgiev5v4
  58. P2 18:00Shot by Addison, saved by Georgiev5v4
  59. P2 19:08Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Georgiev
  60. P2 19:13Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Georgiev
  61. P2 19:23Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gustavsson
  62. P2 19:32Shot by Hartman, saved by Georgiev
  63. P2 19:52Shot by Girard, saved by Gustavsson
  64. P2 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Period start
  66. P3 1:17Shot by Addison, saved by Georgiev
  67. P3 2:02Goal by Manson (Cogliano, Compher)+15 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Goligoski, Zuccarello, Kaprizov, Jost, Addison · COL Cogliano, Manson, Compher, O'Connor, Byram

  68. P3 2:23Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Gustavsson
  69. P3 3:22MacDermid: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Middleton, Duhaime, Shaw, Dewar · COL Sedlak, MacDermid, Toews, Makar, Meyers

  70. P3 3:36Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Georgiev5v4
  71. P3 3:38Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Georgiev5v4
  72. P3 4:09Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Georgiev5v4
  73. P3 4:17Goal by Kaprizov (Addison, Zuccarello)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Addison, Boldy · COL Cogliano, Compher, Toews, Makar

  74. P3 4:38Shot by Hartman, saved by Georgiev
  75. P3 4:59Shot by Johnson, saved by Gustavsson
  76. P3 5:21Shot by Manson, saved by Gustavsson
  77. P3 5:23Duhaime: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Brodin, Dumba, Duhaime, Shaw, Dewar · COL Johnson, Manson, Nichushkin, Rodrigues, Newhook

  78. P3 5:23Manson: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MIN Brodin, Dumba, Duhaime, Shaw, Dewar · COL Johnson, Manson, Nichushkin, Rodrigues, Newhook

  79. P3 7:02Shaw: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Addison, Boldy · COL Cogliano, Compher, Girard, Byram

  80. P3 7:02Girard: Slashing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Addison, Boldy · COL Cogliano, Compher, Girard, Byram

  81. P3 7:26Shot by Dumba, saved by Georgiev
  82. P3 8:22Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Gustavsson
  83. P3 10:54Shot by Compher, saved by Gustavsson
  84. P3 11:52Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Gustavsson
  85. P3 12:04Shot by Hartman, saved by Georgiev
  86. P3 12:07Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Georgiev
  87. P3 12:09Shot by Hartman, saved by Georgiev
  88. P3 14:12Eriksson Ek: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Hartman, Middleton, Eriksson Ek · COL MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  89. P3 14:54Goal by MacKinnon (Makar, Nichushkin)4v5+10 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Brodin, Dumba, Gaudreau, Jost · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rantanen, Makar

  90. P3 15:36Shot by O'Connor, saved by Gustavsson
  91. P3 15:56Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Georgiev
  92. P3 18:44Lehkonen: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: MIN Goligoski, Foligno, Zuccarello, Kaprizov, Addison, Boldy · COL Johnson, Manson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, O'Connor

  93. P3 19:39Goal by Nichushkin, unassisted6v40 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Zuccarello, Gaudreau, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Addison, Boldy · COL Compher, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar

  94. P3 19:57Shot by Middleton, saved by Georgiev5v4
  95. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  96. P3 0:00Final