Thu, Oct 20, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Dallas Stars 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 71% of the time.
64%
22%
TOR winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:27 | 0.01 | 22.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:27 | 0.02 | 67.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:11 | 0.06 | 74.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:47 | 0.07 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:57 | 0.04 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:51 | 0.14 | 44.1% | +26.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 17:31 | 1.34 | 43.6% | +26.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:40 | 0.14 | 74.6% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:26 | 0.27 | 78.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:16 | 0.07 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:56 | 0.15 | 78.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:46 | 0.07 | 78.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:32 | 0.18 | 62.8% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:05 | 0.14 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:22 | 0.00 | 56.1% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11:20 | 0.39 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:54 | 0.09 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:18 | 0.08 | 62.0% | +26.3 |
| O | 43 | 40 | 3 | .930 | 4.61 | +1.6 | 63:34 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 27:19 | 0.16 | 53.0% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 26:46 | 0.34 | 37.1% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26:31 | 0.14 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:45 | 0.31 | 68.6% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 8 | 22:41 | 1.84 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:35 | 0.04 | 35.5% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:34 | 0.00 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:50 | 0.02 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:24 | 0.53 | 45.5% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 15:59 | 0.12 | 44.2% | +44.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 14:24 | 0.57 | 73.3% | +72.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:06 | 0.32 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:35 | 0.03 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:26 | 0.00 | 13.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:02 | 0.19 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:31 | 0.00 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:35 | 0.00 | 11.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:24 | 0.00 | 31.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 3.25 | +1.3 | 63:33 |