Sat, Oct 22, 2022·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Colorado Avalanche 3, Vegas Golden Knights 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 57% of the time.
47%
10%
10%
33%
VGK winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25:46 | 0.11 | 49.1% | +11.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:25 | 0.01 | 39.5% | +20.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 22:34 | 0.51 | 47.0% | +11.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:33 | 0.22 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 21:44 | 0.01 | 35.0% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:47 | 0.04 | 41.9% | +11.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:33 | 0.59 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18:19 | 0.44 | 59.8% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:10 | 0.03 | 18.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:03 | 0.07 | 46.7% | +14.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:06 | 0.09 | 63.0% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.04 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.10 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:43 | 0.07 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:52 | 0.00 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:36 | 0.09 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:15 | 0.00 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:49 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 33 | 2 | .943 | 2.79 | +0.8 | 59:33 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:18 | 0.08 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:10 | 0.19 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 21:03 | 0.26 | 74.0% | +28.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:07 | 0.02 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:36 | 0.52 | 67.8% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:10 | 0.21 | 65.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:12 | 0.02 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:30 | 0.28 | 61.1% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17:10 | 0.08 | 62.7% | +28.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:13 | 0.25 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:02 | 0.19 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:59 | 0.16 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:30 | 0.09 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:19 | 0.18 | 74.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:45 | 0.03 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:16 | 0.01 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:05 | 0.19 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:46 | 0.02 | 44.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 1.82 | −1.2 | 57:41 |