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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 25, 2022·Madison Square Garden, New York

Colorado Avalanche 3, New York Rangers 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 55% of the time.

NYR winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:01Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Georgiev
  3. P1 1:47Shot by Johnson, saved by Shesterkin
  4. P1 2:24Shot by Toews, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 3:04Shot by Hunt, saved by Shesterkin
  6. P1 3:38Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Shesterkin
  7. P1 4:51Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Georgiev
  8. P1 5:08Shot by Panarin, saved by Georgiev
  9. P1 5:35Shot by O'Connor, saved by Shesterkin
  10. P1 6:55Shot by Rantanen, saved by Shesterkin
  11. P1 7:41Shot by Newhook, saved by Shesterkin
  12. P1 8:23Shot by Trocheck, saved by Georgiev
  13. P1 8:38Shot by Lindgren, saved by Georgiev
  14. P1 8:59Shot by Trouba, saved by Georgiev
  15. P1 10:20Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Shesterkin
  16. P1 10:25Shot by Rantanen, saved by Shesterkin
  17. P1 10:25Kakko: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Lindgren, Kakko · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  18. P1 11:00Shot by Makar, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  19. P1 11:40Goal by Nichushkin (Makar, MacKinnon)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Goodrow, Trouba, Carpenter, Miller · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rantanen, Makar

  20. P1 11:57Shot by Compher, saved by Shesterkin
  21. P1 11:58Shot by Compher, saved by Shesterkin
  22. P1 12:51Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Shesterkin
  23. P1 13:20Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Shesterkin
  24. P1 14:03Shot by Blais, saved by Georgiev
  25. P1 14:15Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Georgiev
  26. P1 14:35Shot by Cogliano, saved by Shesterkin
  27. P1 14:47Shot by Trouba, saved by Georgiev
  28. P1 15:08Shot by Trouba, saved by Georgiev
  29. P1 15:11Lafrenière: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Trouba, Panarin, Miller, Lafrenière · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  30. P1 16:22Shot by Rantanen, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  31. P1 17:07Shot by Toews, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  32. P1 17:10Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  33. P1 17:11Shot by Byram, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  34. P1 18:05Shot by Miller, saved by Georgiev
  35. P1 0:00Hunt: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Reaves, Carpenter, Blais, Hajek, Schneider · COL Johnson, Nichushkin, Rodrigues, Girard, Newhook

  36. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  37. P2 0:00Period start
  38. P2 2:20Shot by Vesey, saved by Georgiev
  39. P2 2:29Shot by Lindgren, saved by Georgiev
  40. P2 2:47Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Shesterkin
  41. P2 4:07Shot by Kreider, saved by Georgiev
  42. P2 4:19Shot by O'Connor, saved by Shesterkin
  43. P2 4:39Shot by Compher, saved by Shesterkin
  44. P2 5:06Shot by Trouba, saved by Georgiev
  45. P2 5:25Shot by Trouba, saved by Georgiev
  46. P2 5:55Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Georgiev
  47. P2 7:29Shot by Toews, saved by Shesterkin
  48. P2 7:57Shot by Hunt, saved by Shesterkin
  49. P2 8:49Shot by Lindgren, saved by Georgiev
  50. P2 9:33Shot by Rantanen, saved by Shesterkin
  51. P2 9:33Trouba: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Trouba, Panarin, Miller, Lafrenière · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  52. P2 13:07Shot by Trocheck, saved by Georgiev
  53. P2 13:10Compher: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Trouba, Panarin, Miller, Lafrenière · COL Cogliano, Manson, Compher, O'Connor, Byram

  54. P2 13:17Shot by Kreider, saved by Georgiev5v4
  55. P2 13:54Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Georgiev5v4
  56. P2 14:06Shot by Panarin, saved by Georgiev5v4
  57. P2 14:17Shot by Panarin, saved by Georgiev5v4
  58. P2 15:40Shot by Rantanen, saved by Shesterkin
  59. P2 18:06Goal by Goodrow (Trouba, Blais)+26 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Goodrow, Trouba, Blais, Miller, Kravtsov · COL Johnson, Lehkonen, Rantanen, Girard, Newhook

  60. P2 18:35Shot by Kreider, saved by Georgiev
  61. P2 19:24Manson: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Trouba, Panarin, Miller, Lafrenière · COL Cogliano, Manson, Compher, O'Connor, Byram

  62. P2 19:38Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Georgiev5v4
  63. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  64. P3 0:00Period start
  65. P3 0:33Shot by Panarin, saved by Georgiev5v4
  66. P3 0:40Shot by Kreider, saved by Georgiev5v4
  67. P3 0:49Shot by Kreider, saved by Georgiev5v4
  68. P3 0:59Goal by O'Connor (Cogliano)5v4+29 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox · COL Cogliano, Johnson, O'Connor, Byram

  69. P3 1:06Shot by Kakko, saved by Georgiev5v4
  70. P3 1:08Shot by Kakko, saved by Georgiev5v4
  71. P3 1:17Shot by Trouba, saved by Georgiev5v4
  72. P3 1:19Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Georgiev5v4
  73. P3 3:02Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Shesterkin
  74. P3 3:11Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Shesterkin
  75. P3 4:27Shot by Panarin, saved by Georgiev
  76. P3 4:43Shot by Goodrow, saved by Georgiev
  77. P3 4:59Shot by Toews, saved by Shesterkin
  78. P3 5:26Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Shesterkin
  79. P3 5:49Shot by Makar, saved by Shesterkin
  80. P3 7:34Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Georgiev
  81. P3 8:37Shot by Rantanen, saved by Shesterkin
  82. P3 8:54Shot by Trocheck, saved by Georgiev
  83. P3 11:20Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Georgiev
  84. P3 11:49Shot by Toews, saved by Shesterkin
  85. P3 11:51Shot by Toews, saved by Shesterkin
  86. P3 12:54Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Shesterkin
  87. P3 13:15Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Shesterkin
  88. P3 13:41Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Shesterkin
  89. P3 14:03Goal by Fox (Vesey, Goodrow)+39 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Goodrow, Vesey, Fox, Miller, Kravtsov · COL Compher, Nichushkin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  90. P3 14:15Shot by Trouba, saved by Georgiev
  91. P3 15:30Shot by Trocheck, saved by Georgiev
  92. P3 15:37Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Shesterkin
  93. P3 16:55Shot by Panarin, saved by Georgiev
  94. P3 17:30Shot by Vesey, saved by Georgiev
  95. P3 18:27Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Shesterkin
  96. P3 0:00Period end
  97. OT 0:00Period start
  98. OT 1:06Shot by Rantanen, saved by Shesterkin3v3
  99. OT 1:34Shot by Trouba, saved by Georgiev3v3
  100. OT 1:52Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Shesterkin3v3
  101. OT 3:23Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Georgiev4v3
  102. OT 3:31Shot by Panarin, saved by Georgiev4v3
  103. OT 3:31MacKinnon: Hooking (2 min)4v3

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox · COL MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar

  104. OT 4:47Shot by Cogliano, saved by Shesterkin4v3
  105. OT 5:00Period endother
  106. SO Period start
  107. SO Shot by Kakko, saved by Georgievother
  108. SO Shot by Makar, saved by Shesterkinother
  109. SO Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Georgievother
  110. SO Goal by Rantanen, unassistedother
  111. SO Goal by Panarin, unassistedother
  112. SO Goal by Rodrigues, unassistedother
  113. SO Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Georgievother
  114. SO Period endother
  115. SO Final