Sun, Oct 30, 2022·Mullett Arena, Tempe
New York Rangers 3, Arizona Coyotes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 83% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 015 | 212 | 112 | 339 |
| ARI | 07 | 210 | 03 | 220 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 1:31NYRAlexis LafrenièreAssists: Artemi Panarin, K'Andre Miller · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–0
- P2 6:45ARILawson CrousePPAssists: Dylan Guenther, Matias Maccelli · Snap, 0.13 xG1–1
- P2 11:27ARINick BjugstadAssists: Clayton Keller, Dylan Guenther · Backhand, 0.10 xG1–2
- P2 18:07NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–2
- P3 12:56NYRMika ZibanejadPPGWGAssists: Chris Kreider, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.14 xG3–2
Penalties (4)
- P1 10:06ARILiam O'Brien: Cross checking2 min
- P2 5:06NYRArtemi Panarin: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 12:29ARIDylan Guenther: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 16:31ARITravis Boyd: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against McBain
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Zibanejad – Kakko13:49
xG 0.48–0.31 (61%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Vesey – Gauthier8:56
xG 0.18–0.01 (93%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Trocheck – Panarin – Lafrenière14:48
xG 1.01–0.88 (54%)attempts 13–17goals 2–1
- Reaves – Carpenter – Blais8:51
xG 0.28–0.18 (61%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTrouba – Miller18:15
xG 1.13–0.61 (65%)attempts 18–15goals 1–0
- Jones – Schneider13:12
xG 0.49–0.37 (57%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Fox – Lindgren17:38
xG 0.68–0.67 (50%)attempts 15–10goals 0–1
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestKassian – Ritchie – Hayton9:59
xG 0.59–0.31 (65%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Bjugstad – Crouse – Maccelli6:16
xG 0.37–0.13 (74%)attempts 7–5goals 1–0
- Boyd – Keller – Guenther6:13
xG 0.40–0.32 (56%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Bjugstad – Maccelli – Guenther3:13
xG 0.06–0.22 (22%)attempts 3–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestVälimäki – Moser17:03
xG 0.80–0.68 (54%)attempts 13–10goals 1–0
- Nemeth – Stecher14:17
xG 0.43–0.47 (48%)attempts 12–13goals 0–0
- Gostisbehere – Brown14:35
xG 0.26–0.91 (22%)attempts 10–16goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 83% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).